Australian Open Australia Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Laslo Djere vs Stan Wawrinka: AI Prediction | Games, Aces & Double Faults

Laslo Djere

Rank: #95
71%
VS

Stan Wawrinka

Rank: #156
29%
Expected Total Games: 37.2
Predicted Winner: Laslo Djere

Ranking Trends

Laslo Djere

  • Current Rank: #95 (2026-01-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #84 (2025-10-20)
  • 6 Months Ago: #68 (2025-07-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #71 (2025-04-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #114 (2025-01-13)

Stan Wawrinka

  • Current Rank: #156 (2026-01-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #158 (2025-10-20)
  • 6 Months Ago: #156 (2025-07-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #158 (2025-04-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #156 (2025-01-13)

Player Metrics

Laslo Djere

Form Index: 34.7
ELO Rating: 664.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1554.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.1
Clay: 7.2
Grass: 4.9
Serve Rating: 72.7
Return Rating: 55.9

Stan Wawrinka

Form Index: 26.3
ELO Rating: 397.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1537.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.7
Clay: 8.5
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 94.7

Recent Matches

Laslo Djere
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Marcos Giron (0-2) hard Hong Kong 59 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Emilio Nava (2-0) hard Hong Kong 125 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Elias Ymer (2-0) hard Hong Kong 111 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Shevchenko (0-2) hard Almaty 126 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Valentin Vacherot (0-2) hard Shanghai 84 min

Stan Wawrinka
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Casper Ruud (0-2) hard Basel 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-0) hard Basel 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (1-2) hard Shanghai 106 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Damir Dzumhur (0-2) clay Umag 119 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alvaro Guillen Meza (2-0) clay Umag 73 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Laslo Djere
vs
0
Stan Wawrinka
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 of the 2026 Australian Open, Laslo Djere is set to face Stan Wawrinka in what promises to be an intriguing matchup on hard courts. With Djere holding a probability of winning at 71.04%, compared to Wawrinka's 28.96%, the expected total number of games in this match is approximately 37.19.

Match Analysis

Laslo Djere currently ranks 95th, with a form index of 34.68 and an Elo rating of 664.78. His surface strength index is 3.14, indicating a solid performance on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 72.65 suggests he has a reliable serve. In contrast, Stan Wawrinka is ranked 156th, with a lower form index of 26.30 and significantly lower Elo rating of 397. Although Wawrinka boasts a higher mean serve index of 97.32, his return index of 94.71 reveals his potential to capitalize on his opponents' serves. Notably, the difference in their mean serve index (over 5 points) emphasizes Wawrinka's serving prowess, which could play a crucial role in this match. Both players have had mixed recent performances. Djere has won two out of his last three matches, including a strong showing against Emilio Nava, while Wawrinka has also secured a win against Miomir Kecmanovic but lost his latest match against Casper Ruud. Djere's cumulative fatigue is at 0.0 minutes, reflecting a fresh state, while Wawrinka, despite having the same fatigue level, enters this contest after a string of inconsistent results.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 37.2 Most likely outcome: 37 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The expected aces prediction for this match stands at around 12.1, with a predicted double faults count of approximately 4.45. Given that hard courts typically balance the playing field for both strong servers and returners, these numbers suggest a moderately aggressive serving display. Wawrinka's significantly higher mean serve index may influence the ace count, potentially allowing him to dominate service games.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 12.1 Most likely: 12 aces
❌
Expected Total Double Faults 4.5 Most likely: 4 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

❌ Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves

Final Prediction

Laslo Djere's edge in recent form and overall competitive consistency makes him the favored player in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Wawrinka's ability to leverage his superior serving capabilities, as he attempts to counter Djere's strong return game and maintain his chances in this Grand Slam event.

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