Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad Medjedovic: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Trungelliti (rank 76) brings a higher form index (64.97) and a slightly higher Elo (1635.09) than Medjedovic (rank 83; form 56.89; Elo 1634.44), but cumulative fatigue is heavier on Trungelliti (314 minutes) versus Medjedovic (257 minutes). Surface strength indexes are close — 39.65 for Trungelliti and 41.19 for Medjedovic — suggesting neither has a pronounced clay advantage. The serving and returning profiles show a clear contrast: Medjedovic’s mean serve index (98.49) is far superior to Trungelliti’s (59.97), and his mean return index (89.47) also outpaces Trungelliti’s (74.16), differences that will shape the margin in service holds and break chances. Across their last three matches on clay, Trungelliti is 1–2, with a marathon 184-minute loss to Pedro Martínez and a hard-fought win over Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. Medjedovic is 2–1 in his last three, beating Quentin Halys and Vilius Gaubas in Barcelona after a longer three-set loss in Marrakech; his shorter cumulative time on court suggests fresher legs heading into the round of 32. Both players have recent clay match experience, but Medjedovic’s mix of a powerful serve and strong return metrics stands out.