Umag Croatia Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Tomas Barrios Vera vs Mariano Navone Prediction

Tomas Barrios Vera

Rank: #124
29%
VS

Mariano Navone

Rank: #75
71%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Mariano Navone

Ranking Trends

Tomas Barrios Vera

  • Current Rank: #124 (2025-07-14)
  • 3 Months Ago: #128 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #152 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #174 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #163 (2024-07-22)

Mariano Navone

  • Current Rank: #75 (2025-07-14)
  • 3 Months Ago: #85 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #47 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #44 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #36 (2024-07-22)

Player Metrics

Tomas Barrios Vera

Form Index: 24.5
ELO Rating: 350.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1547.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.1
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 2.7
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 86.0

Mariano Navone

Form Index: 47.2
ELO Rating: 1123.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1578.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.9
Clay: 10.5
Grass: 8.7
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 90.2

Recent Matches

Tomas Barrios Vera
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Mariano Navone (0-2) clay Bastad 118 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs James McCabe (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Henrique Rocha (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Luka Pavlovic (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (1-2) clay Rome 186 min

Mariano Navone
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) clay Bastad 92 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Barrios Vera (2-0) clay Bastad 118 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Pedro Martinez (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Denis Shapovalov (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (0-2) grass Mallorca 76 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Tomas Barrios Vera
vs
1
Mariano Navone
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Tomas Barrios Vera and Mariano Navone takes place at the ATP 250 tournament in Umag, Croatia, on a clay surface in the Round of 32. Based on the current data, Mariano Navone is favored to win with a probability of 70.63%, while Tomas Barrios Vera has a 29.37% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played is set at 22.0.

Match Analysis

Mariano Navone, currently ranked 75th, boasts a higher form index (47.25) and Elo rating (1123.35) compared to Tomas Barrios Vera, who is ranked 124th with a form index of 24.45 and an Elo rating of 350.61. Both players show no cumulative fatigue from previous matches, indicating they are fresh for this encounter. Notably, Navone's surface strength index at 10.50 significantly surpasses Vera's 3.60, highlighting his better adaptation to clay. Additionally, while both players have similar serve indices (Navone at 94.78 and Vera at 95.95), Navone's return index of 90.19 outshines Vera's 86.02, suggesting an edge in returning serves. In their most recent matches, Barrios Vera lost to Navone in their last encounter at Bastad, failing to win a set. This trend continued in earlier matches, where he also faced defeats at Roland Garros and Wimbledon. On the other hand, Navone managed to secure a victory against Barrios Vera in Bastad and recently lost to Francisco Cerundolo, despite competing well. His ability to perform well against Barrios Vera gives him a psychological advantage heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Mariano Navone's overall higher ranking, form index, and superior performance against Tomas Barrios Vera in their recent matches provide him with a significant edge. A key factor to watch will be Navone's return game, as his ability to capitalize on Barrios Vera's serves could be decisive in determining the outcome of this match.