Stockholm Sweden Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Mark Lajal vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry Prediction

Mark Lajal

Rank: #146
32%
VS

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Rank: #58
68%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Player Metrics

Mark Lajal

Form Index: 41.9
ELO Rating: 429.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1540.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 204.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.0
Clay: 1.7
Grass: 3.7
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 85.0

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Form Index: 51.1
ELO Rating: 1100.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1605.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.3
Clay: 9.6
Grass: 10.0
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.1

Recent Matches

Mark Lajal

  • Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (2-1) hard Stockholm 117 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Rei Sakamoto (2-0) hard Stockholm 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (0-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (1-2) hard Cincinnati 130 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alan Magadan (0-2) hard Los Cabos 86 min

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

  • Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (1-1) hard Hangzhou 68 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (2-0) hard Hangzhou 88 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (2-0) hard Hangzhou 75 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Mark Lajal
vs
0
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Mark Lajal and Tomas Martin Etcheverry at the Stockholm tournament marks a Round of 32 clash on hard courts. With Etcheverry holding a significant edge in terms of ranking and recent form, he is the predicted winner with a probability of 68.27%, while Lajal stands at 31.73%. The anticipated total number of games played is projected to be around 23.

Match Analysis

Tomas Martin Etcheverry, currently ranked 58th, boasts a higher form index of 51.08 compared to Mark Lajal's 41.85. His Elo rating of 1100.14 also significantly surpasses Lajal's 429.19, indicating a more consistent performance level. Fatigue is a critical factor, with Lajal having accumulated 204 minutes on court in this tournament, while Etcheverry enters this match fresh, having not yet played a match in Stockholm. On hard courts, Etcheverry's surface strength index of 10.28 far exceeds Lajal's 3.01, indicating a stronger adaptation to the playing conditions. Furthermore, the difference in their mean serve index, with Etcheverry at 95.63 and Lajal at 94.46, is not substantial. However, Etcheverry's mean return index of 87.07 compared to Lajal's 84.95 gives him an additional advantage. In their recent performances, Lajal has shown resilience, winning two out of his last three matches, including a challenging contest against Ethan Quinn. Conversely, Etcheverry secured victories in two of his last three matches in Hangzhou, although he did lose his most recent match against Corentin Moutet, which could impact his momentum. Nonetheless, his overall form and ranking position suggest a higher level of consistency.

Final Prediction

Tomas Martin Etcheverry's combination of a higher ranking, better recent form, and being well-rested gives him a significant advantage over Mark Lajal in this match. One key factor to watch will be Etcheverry's return game, as his superior return index could dictate the pace and flow of the match.