Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Miomir Kecmanovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction

Miomir Kecmanovic

Rank: #49
53%
VS

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Rank: #67
47%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Miomir Kecmanovic

Ranking Trends

Miomir Kecmanovic

  • Current Rank: #49 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #46 (2025-05-19)
  • 6 Months Ago: #42 (2025-02-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #54 (2024-11-18)
  • 12 Months Ago: #53 (2024-08-19)

Aleksandar Kovacevic

  • Current Rank: #67 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #80 (2025-05-19)
  • 6 Months Ago: #77 (2025-02-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #96 (2024-11-18)
  • 12 Months Ago: #75 (2024-08-19)

Player Metrics

Miomir Kecmanovic

Form Index: 31.3
ELO Rating: 1001.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1587.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.3
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.7

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Form Index: 29.5
ELO Rating: 672.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1555.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.1
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 85.0

Recent Matches

Miomir Kecmanovic
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ethan Quinn (0-2) hard Cincinnati 98 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexandre Muller (1-2) hard Toronto 127 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Quentin Halys (2-1) hard Toronto 137 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Zachary Svajda (1-2) hard Washington 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Aleksandar Kovacevic
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Hamad Medjedovic (0-2) hard Cincinnati 62 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Tristan Boyer (0-2) hard Toronto 121 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (1-2) hard Washington 115 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Quentin Halys (2-1) hard Washington 116 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Denis Shapovalov (0-2) hard Los Cabos 75 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Miomir Kecmanovic
vs
0
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Winston-Salem tournament in North Carolina, Miomir Kecmanovic faces Aleksandar Kovacevic on hard courts. The match is anticipated to be closely contested, with Kecmanovic slightly favored to win, holding a 53.32% probability compared to Kovacevic's 46.68%. The predicted total number of games played in this matchup is set at 24.0.

Match Analysis

Miomir Kecmanovic currently ranks 49th, showcasing a strong form index of 31.26, while Aleksandar Kovacevic is ranked 67th with a form index of 29.50. Kecmanovic's Elo rating stands at 1001.14, significantly higher than Kovacevic's 672.20, indicating better overall performance in past matches. Both players exhibit minimal fatigue, having not spent much time on court in this tournament. Kecmanovic has a surface strength index of 9.59, compared to Kovacevic's 8.10, suggesting a slight advantage on hard courts. Notably, Kecmanovic's mean serve index of 96.98 is slightly higher than Kovacevic's 96.27, but their mean return indices are relatively close, with Kecmanovic at 86.71 and Kovacevic at 85.01. In their recent performances, Kecmanovic has struggled, losing two of his last three matches, including a recent defeat against Ethan Quinn in Cincinnati. His only victory in this stretch came against Quentin Halys. Conversely, Kovacevic has also faced challenges, losing all three of his last matches, including to Hamad Medjedovic and Tristan Boyer. Both players will be seeking to improve their form, but Kecmanovic has shown flashes of potential that could bode well for this matchup.

Final Prediction

Kecmanovic's slight edge in ranking, higher Elo rating, and superior surface strength index provide him with a favorable position heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be Kecmanovic's ability to leverage his stronger serve against Kovacevic, which could prove critical in securing his victory.