Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Vit Kopriva vs Quentin Halys: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Vit Kopriva

Rank: #71
33%
VS

Quentin Halys

Rank: #54
67%
Expected Total Games: 25.8
Predicted Winner: Quentin Halys

Why the Model Favors Quentin Halys

The factors that drove this prediction, measured in win-probability points.

Serve & return game +6.0 Quentin Halys
Recent form +3.1 Quentin Halys
Overall record & opposition quality +2.2 Quentin Halys
Recent record by level +2.1 Quentin Halys
Overall strength +1.9 Quentin Halys

Starting from an even matchup, these factors move the model to 67% for Quentin Halys. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

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Player Metrics

Vit Kopriva

Form Index: 31.6
ELO Rating: 1594.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1668.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.8
Clay: 20.1
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 90.3

Quentin Halys

Form Index: 68.4
ELO Rating: 1779.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1754.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 228.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 29.4
Clay: 28.1
Grass: 5.4
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 82.9

Recent Matches

Vit Kopriva

Quentin Halys

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Vit Kopriva
vs
0
Quentin Halys
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

At the Cincinnati masters 1000 in Ohio, the Round of 128 meeting on hard courts sees Vit Kopriva face Quentin Halys. The model favors Quentin Halys to win with a 66.69% probability, while Vit Kopriva is given a 33.31% chance. The forecasted match length is about 25.75 total games.

Match Analysis

The model's edge for Halys comes mainly from the serve and return game, supported by his recent form and higher overall strength. Halys carries a higher Elo at 1779.3 versus Kopriva at 1594.0, and a markedly stronger form index of 68.4 versus 31.6. Those metrics, together with Halys winning his last three matches including two on hard in Cincinnati, push the prediction toward him by the largest margins among the key factors. Looking at playing styles and match wear, Kopriva is the better returner on paper with a mean return index of 90.32 against Halys at 82.86, a gap greater than five points that could make him dangerous on return games. Serve ratings are close: Kopriva 95.26 and Halys 96.57, so there is no large serve discrepancy. Surface strength indexes favor Halys modestly, 29.41 to Kopriva 16.77, and fatigue is a contrast to watch. Kopriva enters fresh with zero minutes on court in this event, while Halys has 228 minutes logged, including a long 136 minute win over Soonwoo Kwon. Over the last three matches Kopriva is 1-2 with a straight sets loss to Jiri Lehecka most recently, while Halys is 3-0 with solid hard court wins at Cincinnati.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 25.8 Most likely outcome: 25 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Probability distribution chart for total games in Vit Kopriva versus Quentin Halys. The X-axis shows possible total games values and the Y-axis shows the predicted probability percentage for each outcome.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total games in Vit Kopriva versus Quentin Halys. The curve rises from 0% to 100%, showing the cumulative probability for each games total threshold.

Games Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Games Spread (Vit Kopriva - Quentin Halys) -2.3 Most likely spread: -3 (Quentin Halys wins 3 more games)

📊 Games Spread Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each games spread outcome

Probability distribution chart for games spread in Vit Kopriva versus Quentin Halys. Positive values indicate Vit Kopriva winning more games, negative values indicate Quentin Halys winning more games.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for games spread in Vit Kopriva versus Quentin Halys. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each spread threshold.

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The aces prediction sits at 16.89 for the match and the predicted aces split will be influenced by both players having strong serves. The expected double faults total is 7.15. On medium paced hard courts these numbers are consistent with a match where both servers can produce free points, but returns will matter. Since serve ratings are close, no single player is likely to dominate the ace count, though Halys' slightly higher serve index may nudge the predicted aces upward for him.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 16.9 Most likely: 16 aces
Expected Total Double Faults 7.2 Most likely: 7 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Probability distribution chart for total aces in Vit Kopriva versus Quentin Halys. Higher ace counts are more likely on faster surfaces like grass.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total aces in Vit Kopriva versus Quentin Halys. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each aces threshold.

Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Probability distribution chart for double faults in Vit Kopriva versus Quentin Halys. The chart shows the predicted probability for each double-fault count.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for double faults in Vit Kopriva versus Quentin Halys. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each double faults threshold.

🎯 Match Format Predictions

Tiebreak Likelihood

Probability that any tiebreak is played in this match

43.4% Predicted: No tiebreak

Exact Score Distribution BO3

Probability of each set-by-set outcome (Vit Kopriva's perspective)

0-2 Most likely set score (44.1%)
Probability distribution of the final set score from Vit Kopriva's perspective. Format: BO3.

Final Prediction

Halys is given the edge primarily because of the serve and return game factor, backed by superior form and Elo. The key thing to watch is Kopriva’s return efficiency early on, which could upset the balance if he converts pressure into breaks.

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