Marco Trungelliti vs Rafael Jodar: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Trungelliti (rank 117) arrives with a sensible form index (70.72) and an Elo of 1664.35, but heavy cumulative fatigue (700 minutes on court) and a modest surface strength index (40.45) are notable. His mean serve index is 55.66 while his mean return index is a strong 73.03, indicating he leans on returning and extended baseline play. Over his three wins here he has been pushed deep — match times of 107, 130 and 155 minutes — showing match toughness but also accumulated wear. Jodar (rank 89) combines a higher form index (78.58) and a superior Elo (1743.65) with far less tournament fatigue (293 minutes). His surface strength index is virtually identical to Trungelliti’s (40.57). Importantly, Jodar’s mean serve index (96.66) is dramatically higher than Trungelliti’s (difference > 5 points), and his mean return index (89.71) also outpaces Trungelliti’s by a wide margin. Jodar’s route to the final has been efficient — two very quick straight‑set wins and one 120‑minute three‑setter — suggesting fresher legs and cleaner tennis entering the final.