Mallorca Spain Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Bernard Tomic vs Roberto Bautista Agut Prediction

Bernard Tomic

Rank: #243
25%
VS

Roberto Bautista Agut

Rank: #51
75%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Roberto Bautista Agut

Ranking Trends

Bernard Tomic

  • Current Rank: #243 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #219 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #213 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #233 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #249 (2024-06-24)

Roberto Bautista Agut

  • Current Rank: #51 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #50 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #51 (2024-12-23)
  • 9 Months Ago: #61 (2024-09-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #122 (2024-06-24)

Player Metrics

Bernard Tomic

Form Index: 52.4
ELO Rating: 394.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1529.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 313.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.2
Clay: 2.5
Grass: 3.2
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 84.6

Roberto Bautista Agut

Form Index: 52.9
ELO Rating: 1312.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1621.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 154.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.9
Clay: 9.7
Grass: 10.9
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Bernard Tomic
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Rinky Hijikata (2-1) grass Mallorca 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-0) grass Mallorca 90 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jesper de Jong (2-1) grass Mallorca 116 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ethan Quinn (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Coleman Wong (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Roberto Bautista Agut
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-1) grass Mallorca 154 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) grass London 89 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Holger Rune (2-1) grass London 146 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jakub Mensik (2-1) grass London 141 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Hubert Hurkacz (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 98 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Bernard Tomic
vs
0
Roberto Bautista Agut
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the Mallorca tournament progresses into the Round of 16, Bernard Tomic faces off against Roberto Bautista Agut on the grass courts of Spain. With Bautista Agut holding a significant advantage, he is predicted to win with a probability of 75.28%. In contrast, Tomic's chances stand at 24.72%, with the anticipated total number of games played in this match estimated at 23.

Match Analysis

Bernard Tomic, currently ranked 243, has a form index of 52.45, indicating a somewhat inconsistent performance. His Elo rating of 394.74 indicates a lack of competitive match experience at higher levels. Tomic's cumulative fatigue at 313 minutes is notably higher than Bautista Agut’s 154 minutes, suggesting he may struggle with endurance. His surface strength index of 3.15 highlights a significant disadvantage on grass compared to Bautista Agut's 10.88, which reflects his stronger adaptability to this surface. The mean serve index for Tomic is 95.43, while Bautista Agut's stands at 95.57, showing a negligible difference, but Bautista Agut has a superior mean return index of 87.01 compared to Tomic’s 84.55, providing him a tactical edge. In their recent performances, Tomic has won all three of his last matches, demonstrating a positive momentum, albeit against lower-ranked opponents. His latest victory over Rinky Hijikata was hard-fought, lasting 107 minutes. Conversely, Bautista Agut has also shown resilience, winning two out of his last three matches, including a recent win against Tomas Martin Etcheverry, which lasted 154 minutes. His only loss came against Carlos Alcaraz, a formidable competitor, which should not overshadow his overall consistency.

Final Prediction

Roberto Bautista Agut's superior ranking, lower fatigue levels, and higher surface strength index provide him with a substantial advantage in this matchup. A key factor to monitor will be Bautista Agut's return game, as his ability to capitalize on Tomic's serves could decisively influence the match's outcome.