Gstaad Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Patrick Zahraj vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Prediction

Patrick Zahraj

Rank: #280
23%
VS

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Rank: #132
77%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Roman Andres Burruchaga

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Player Metrics

Patrick Zahraj

Form Index: 27.6
ELO Rating: 133.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1394.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 220.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 0.8
Clay: 1.2
Grass: 0.7
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 86.8

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Form Index: 55.8
ELO Rating: 448.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1545.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 63.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.6
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 3.8
Serve Rating: 94.4
Return Rating: 90.4

Recent Matches

Patrick Zahraj

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Patrick Zahraj
vs
0
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Patrick Zahraj and Roman Andres Burruchaga is set to take place in Gstaad, Switzerland, during the round of 16 of an ATP 250 tournament on clay. Burruchaga is predicted to emerge victorious with a probability of 77.45%, while Zahraj has a probability of 22.55% of winning. The predicted total number of games played in this match is estimated to be 22.0.

Match Analysis

Patrick Zahraj is currently ranked 280, with a relatively low form index of 27.61 and an Elo rating of 133.67. His cumulative fatigue stands at 220 minutes, suggesting he may be feeling the toll of the tournament. Zahraj has a surface strength index of 1.17, indicating he may struggle on clay. His mean serve index of 95.61 is competitive, but his mean return index of 86.81 is lower than Burruchaga's, which could impact his ability to capitalize on serves. In contrast, Roman Andres Burruchaga holds a much higher rank of 132 and has a form index of 55.84, reflecting better recent performance. His Elo rating is significantly higher at 448.69, while his fatigue is only 63 minutes, suggesting he is in better shape for this match. Burruchaga boasts a strong surface strength index of 4.92 and a mean return index of 90.37, which is notably higher than Zahraj’s by over 5 points. His mean serve index of 94.37 is comparable to Zahraj's, but the overall balance tips in favor of Burruchaga based on his superior return game. Both players have shown mixed results in their last three matches, with Zahraj winning only one, whereas Burruchaga has secured two victories.

Final Prediction

The predicted winner, Roman Andres Burruchaga, has a distinct advantage in terms of rank, form, and fatigue level, which significantly enhances his prospects for success. A key factor to watch during the match will be Burruchaga's ability to exploit his return game, which could put Zahraj under pressure and dictate the flow of the match.

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