Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model’s edge for van de Zandschulp comes mainly from recent form and the contrast in fatigue and recent workload. Recent form shifts 5.7 percentage points toward Botic, and the lighter minutes on court (174 vs 696) add another 3.0 points in his favor — fatigue is a clear material factor heading into this grass contest. Safiullin’s superior short-term form index (86.78 vs 48.55) and his slightly higher Elo (1745 vs 1651) and surface strength index (18.43 vs 12.89) are reflected in a +2.8 point tilt for his serve and return game, but they are not enough to overcome Botic’s freshness and overall match context. Looking through the numbers: van de Zandschulp is the higher-ranked player (No. 54) versus Safiullin (No. 132), while Safiullin shows the stronger recent form index and marginally better return numbers. Neither player holds a dramatically better serve rating — Safiullin’s mean serve index is 96.25 to Botic’s 95.36, a negligible gap — and the same is true for returns (about a four-point gap). Over their last three matches at grass events, Safiullin has won three straight at this tournament (including two five-set victories and a straight-sets match), indicating resilience but heavy court time. Van de Zandschulp arrives with mixed results — a straight-sets loss to Tommy Paul in London but a solid 3–1 win here and a prior straight-sets victory.