Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Roman Safiullin vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

Roman Safiullin

Rank: #90
37%
VS

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #27
63%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

Player Metrics

Roman Safiullin

Form Index: 26.3
ELO Rating: 825.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1572.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.8
Clay: 6.7
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 88.3

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 52.3
ELO Rating: 1332.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1671.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.0
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Roman Safiullin

  • Last Match: vs Christopher O'Connell (0-2) hard Winston Salem 81 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Cincinnati 118 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alejandro Tabilo (2-0) hard Cincinnati 68 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) hard Toronto 81 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ugo Blanchet (2-1) hard Toronto 141 min

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-1) hard Cincinnati 71 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-0) hard Cincinnati 74 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (2-0) hard Cincinnati 121 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-0) hard Cincinnati 117 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) hard Toronto 101 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Roman Safiullin
vs
0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Roman Safiullin and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Round of 64 at the US Open promises to be an intriguing matchup on the hard courts of New York. With Auger-Aliassime ranked 27th and Safiullin at 90th, the Canadian is favored to win with a probability of 62.76%, while Safiullin has a 37.24% chance. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 38.

Match Analysis

Felix Auger-Aliassime enters this match with a significantly higher Elo rating of 1332.87 compared to Roman Safiullin's 825.89, reflecting a stark contrast in experience and skill level. Auger-Aliassime also boasts a superior form index of 52.29, indicating recent competitive success, while Safiullin lags with a form index of 26.26. Both players have shown no signs of fatigue, as their cumulative minutes on court in the current tournament stand at 0. On the surface strength index, Auger-Aliassime's 12.05 further emphasizes his capability on hard courts, compared to Safiullin's 8.78. Notably, there is a substantial difference in their mean serve index, where Safiullin’s 97.65 slightly edges out Auger-Aliassime’s 96.04, but the mean return index indicates a clearer gap with Safiullin at 88.33 and Auger-Aliassime at 85.78. In their recent performances, Auger-Aliassime has had a mixed bag, winning two out of his last three matches, including a solid victory against Benjamin Bonzi, while suffering a close loss to Jannik Sinner. Conversely, Safiullin has struggled, winning only one of his last three matches, with losses to Holger Rune and Christopher O'Connell, which could impact his confidence heading into this encounter.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime's higher ranking, better recent form, and superior overall statistics provide him with a clear advantage in this matchup. One key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of each player's serve, as Safiullin's slight edge in serve efficiency could play a crucial role in determining the set outcomes.