Australian Open Australia Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Laslo Djere vs Stan Wawrinka: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Laslo Djere

Rank: #95
71%
VS

Stan Wawrinka

Rank: #156
29%
Expected Total Games: 37.2
Predicted Winner: Laslo Djere

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Player Metrics

Laslo Djere

Form Index: 34.7
ELO Rating: 664.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1554.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.1
Clay: 7.2
Grass: 4.9
Serve Rating: 72.7
Return Rating: 55.9

Stan Wawrinka

Form Index: 26.3
ELO Rating: 397.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1537.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.7
Clay: 8.5
Grass: 8.3
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 94.7

Recent Matches

Laslo Djere

Stan Wawrinka

  • Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) hard Basel 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-0) hard Basel 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (1-2) hard Shanghai 106 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (0-2) clay Umag 119 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alvaro Guillen Meza (2-0) clay Umag 73 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Laslo Djere
vs
0
Stan Wawrinka
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 of the 2026 Australian Open, Laslo Djere is set to face Stan Wawrinka in what promises to be an intriguing matchup on hard courts. With Djere holding a probability of winning at 71.04%, compared to Wawrinka's 28.96%, the expected total number of games in this match is approximately 37.19.

Match Analysis

Laslo Djere currently ranks 95th, with a form index of 34.68 and an Elo rating of 664.78. His surface strength index is 3.14, indicating a solid performance on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 72.65 suggests he has a reliable serve. In contrast, Stan Wawrinka is ranked 156th, with a lower form index of 26.30 and significantly lower Elo rating of 397. Although Wawrinka boasts a higher mean serve index of 97.32, his return index of 94.71 reveals his potential to capitalize on his opponents' serves. Notably, the difference in their mean serve index (over 5 points) emphasizes Wawrinka's serving prowess, which could play a crucial role in this match. Both players have had mixed recent performances. Djere has won two out of his last three matches, including a strong showing against Emilio Nava, while Wawrinka has also secured a win against Miomir Kecmanovic but lost his latest match against Casper Ruud. Djere's cumulative fatigue is at 0.0 minutes, reflecting a fresh state, while Wawrinka, despite having the same fatigue level, enters this contest after a string of inconsistent results.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 37.2 Most likely outcome: 37 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Probability distribution chart for total games in Laslo Djere versus Stan Wawrinka. The X-axis shows possible total games values and the Y-axis shows the predicted probability percentage for each outcome.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total games in Laslo Djere versus Stan Wawrinka. The curve rises from 0% to 100%, showing the cumulative probability for each games total threshold.

Games Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Games Spread (Laslo Djere - Stan Wawrinka) -0.4 Most likely spread: -1 (Stan Wawrinka wins 1 more games)

📊 Games Spread Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each games spread outcome

Probability distribution chart for games spread in Laslo Djere versus Stan Wawrinka. Positive values indicate Laslo Djere winning more games, negative values indicate Stan Wawrinka winning more games.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for games spread in Laslo Djere versus Stan Wawrinka. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each spread threshold.

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The expected aces prediction for this match stands at around 12.1, with a predicted double faults count of approximately 4.45. Given that hard courts typically balance the playing field for both strong servers and returners, these numbers suggest a moderately aggressive serving display. Wawrinka's significantly higher mean serve index may influence the ace count, potentially allowing him to dominate service games.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 12.1 Most likely: 12 aces
Expected Total Double Faults 4.5 Most likely: 4 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Probability distribution chart for total aces in Laslo Djere versus Stan Wawrinka. Higher ace counts are more likely on faster surfaces like grass.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total aces in Laslo Djere versus Stan Wawrinka. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each aces threshold.

Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Probability distribution chart for double faults in Laslo Djere versus Stan Wawrinka. Clay surface matches tend to produce more double faults due to fatigue in longer rallies.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for double faults in Laslo Djere versus Stan Wawrinka. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each double faults threshold.

Final Prediction

Laslo Djere's edge in recent form and overall competitive consistency makes him the favored player in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Wawrinka's ability to leverage his superior serving capabilities, as he attempts to counter Djere's strong return game and maintain his chances in this Grand Slam event.

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