Halle Germany Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Terence Atmane vs Martin Landaluce: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Terence Atmane

Rank: #53
34%
VS

Martin Landaluce

Rank: #55
66%
Expected Total Games: 25.2
Predicted Winner: Martin Landaluce

Why the Model Favors Martin Landaluce

The factors that drove this prediction, measured in win-probability points.

Recent form +7.4 Martin Landaluce
Surface fit +4.7 Martin Landaluce
Overall strength +2.4 Martin Landaluce
Age +1.9 Martin Landaluce
Overall record & opposition quality +1.3 Martin Landaluce

Starting from an even matchup, these factors move the model to 66% for Martin Landaluce. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network — not editorial opinion. How to read this →

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Player Metrics

Terence Atmane

Form Index: 30.3
ELO Rating: 1590.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1622.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 23.1
Clay: 13.7
Grass: 10.6
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 92.9

Martin Landaluce

Form Index: 62.4
ELO Rating: 1746.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1781.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 218.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 27.6
Clay: 20.2
Grass: 14.1
Serve Rating: 93.8
Return Rating: 86.7

Recent Matches

Terence Atmane

  • Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 66 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Thanasi Kokkinakis (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (0-2) clay Hamburg 100 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (0-2) clay Rome 106 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (2-0) clay Rome 83 min

Martin Landaluce

  • Last Match: vs Tom Gentzsch (2-0) grass Halle 90 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Marc-Andrea Huesler (2-1) grass Halle 128 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (1-2) grass Stuttgart 151 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (2-1) grass Stuttgart 138 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Terence Atmane
vs
0
Martin Landaluce
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

Halle, Germany — round of 32 on grass at an ATP 500 event pits Terence Atmane against Martin Landaluce. The model favors Landaluce (65.69%) over Atmane (34.31%) and projects a relatively short match: about 25.25 total games.

Match Analysis

The model’s edge for Landaluce comes mainly from recent form and a slightly better surface fit. Landaluce arrives with a form index of 62.39 and back-to-back wins at Halle, including a straight-sets victory over Tom Gentzsch and a three-set win over Marc-Andrea Huesler; that recent rhythm accounts for the largest single factor in the prediction. His Elo (1746.7) also sits notably above Atmane’s (1590.2), contributing to the model’s assessment of overall strength. Age and record versus opposition quality add small additional nudges toward Landaluce. Atmane is the higher-ranked player on paper (No. 53 to 55) but carries a much lower form index (30.33) and zero minutes of fatigue in this event compared with Landaluce’s 218 minutes on court. Surface strength indices are modest for both — Atmane 10.56, Landaluce 14.10 — giving Landaluce a small grass edge. Serve and return metrics show Atmane with a marginally higher mean serve index (96.83 vs 93.83) but, notably, a significantly stronger mean return index (92.88 vs 86.66) — a difference greater than five points that suggests Atmane can challenge serve-dominated points on grass. Recent form contrasts sharply: Atmane has lost his last three matches (including a straight-sets loss to Nuno Borges on grass), while Landaluce has been in better recent match-winning form despite earlier losses to top opposition like Taylor Fritz.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 25.2 Most likely outcome: 25 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Probability distribution chart for total games in Terence Atmane versus Martin Landaluce. The X-axis shows possible total games values and the Y-axis shows the predicted probability percentage for each outcome.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total games in Terence Atmane versus Martin Landaluce. The curve rises from 0% to 100%, showing the cumulative probability for each games total threshold.

Games Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Games Spread (Terence Atmane - Martin Landaluce) -0.5 Most likely spread: -1 (Martin Landaluce wins 1 more games)

📊 Games Spread Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each games spread outcome

Probability distribution chart for games spread in Terence Atmane versus Martin Landaluce. Positive values indicate Terence Atmane winning more games, negative values indicate Martin Landaluce winning more games.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for games spread in Terence Atmane versus Martin Landaluce. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each spread threshold.

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The aces prediction for this grass match is elevated: the model forecasts 14.03 predicted aces combined, reflecting grass’s quick, low bounce that favors free points. Expected double faults sit at 7.51 for the match. Neither player holds a vastly superior serve index, so predicted aces will come from short points and a few big serving holds rather than one player dominating server statistics.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 14.0 Most likely: 14 aces
Expected Total Double Faults 7.5 Most likely: 7 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Probability distribution chart for total aces in Terence Atmane versus Martin Landaluce. Higher ace counts are more likely on faster surfaces like grass.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total aces in Terence Atmane versus Martin Landaluce. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each aces threshold.

Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Probability distribution chart for double faults in Terence Atmane versus Martin Landaluce. Clay surface matches tend to produce more double faults due to fatigue in longer rallies.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for double faults in Terence Atmane versus Martin Landaluce. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each double faults threshold.

🎯 Match Format Predictions

Tiebreak Likelihood

Probability that any tiebreak is played in this match

39.2% Predicted: No tiebreak

Exact Score Distribution BO3

Probability of each set-by-set outcome (Terence Atmane's perspective)

0-2 Most likely set score (34.3%)
Probability distribution of the final set score from Terence Atmane's perspective. Format: BO3.

Final Prediction

Landaluce’s short-term form is the clearest reason he is favored; recent wins at Halle are the standout model driver. Watch return games early — Atmane’s superior return index could flip momentum if he manages to break quickly.

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