Umag Croatia Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Titouan Droguet vs Vit Kopriva Prediction

Titouan Droguet

Rank: #174
43%
VS

Vit Kopriva

Rank: #83
57%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Vit Kopriva

Player Metrics

Titouan Droguet

Form Index: 65.2
ELO Rating: 440.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1556.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 281.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.0
Clay: 3.8
Grass: 2.9
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 87.7

Vit Kopriva

Form Index: 44.1
ELO Rating: 645.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1573.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 154.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.9
Clay: 5.9
Grass: 4.8
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 89.1

Recent Matches

Titouan Droguet

  • Last Match: vs Cristian Garin (2-0) clay Umag 72 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Vilius Gaubas (2-1) clay Umag 131 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Niels McDonald (2-0) clay Umag 78 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Taro Daniel (2-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Vit Kopriva

  • Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (2-1) clay Umag 154 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (0-2) clay Bastad 147 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Hugo Dellien (2-0) clay Bastad 45 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jordan Thompson (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (1-2) grass Mallorca 179 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Titouan Droguet
vs
0
Vit Kopriva
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The round of 16 match at the Umag tournament in Croatia features Titouan Droguet facing off against Vit Kopriva on clay. With a predicted probability of 56.50%, Vit Kopriva is favored to win, while Titouan Droguet has a 43.50% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games in this match is set at 22.0.

Match Analysis

Titouan Droguet, ranked 174, enters the match with a form index of 65.22 and an Elo rating of 440.20, providing him with a competitive edge for his ranking. Notably, his surface strength index of 3.79 indicates a developing proficiency on clay. However, he carries a higher fatigue level of 281 minutes, which could impact his performance. In contrast, Vit Kopriva, ranked 83, holds a form index of 44.10 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 645.47, showcasing his established skills. Kopriva’s surface strength index is more robust at 5.90, and he has a lower fatigue level of 154 minutes, suggesting better stamina for this round. The recent performances of both players also shed light on their current form. Droguet has won all three of his last matches at this tournament, including a notable victory over Cristian Garin, demonstrating his capability on the clay surface. Conversely, Kopriva’s last three matches show mixed results, having won two but lost one. His recent victory against Raphael Collignon in Umag indicates he is capable of competing at a high level, although he suffered a setback in Bastad against Jesper de Jong.

Final Prediction

Vit Kopriva's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and lower fatigue level provide him with a distinct advantage in this matchup. An essential factor to observe will be the effectiveness of his serve and return game, particularly given Droguet's relatively higher mean serve index, which could be pivotal in determining the match's outcome.