Umag Croatia Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Raphael Collignon vs Vit Kopriva Prediction

Raphael Collignon

Rank: #85
37%
VS

Vit Kopriva

Rank: #78
63%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Vit Kopriva

Player Metrics

Raphael Collignon

Form Index: 21.3
ELO Rating: 439.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1501.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.0
Clay: 4.5
Grass: 3.9
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 92.5

Vit Kopriva

Form Index: 36.1
ELO Rating: 637.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1568.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.9
Clay: 5.8
Grass: 4.8
Serve Rating: 94.6
Return Rating: 89.1

Recent Matches

Raphael Collignon

  • Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (1-2) clay Bastad 129 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Marin Cilic (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (0-1) clay Hamburg 60 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniel Dutra da Silva (2-0) clay Hamburg 66 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Patrick Zahraj (2-0) clay Hamburg 102 min

Vit Kopriva

  • Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (0-2) clay Bastad 147 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Hugo Dellien (2-0) clay Bastad 45 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jordan Thompson (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (1-2) grass Mallorca 179 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Petros Tsitsipas (2-0) grass Mallorca 100 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Raphael Collignon
vs
0
Vit Kopriva
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Raphael Collignon and Vit Kopriva at the Umag tournament in Croatia marks an intriguing Round of 32 clash on clay. With the tournament being an ATP 250 event, both players will be vying for advancement on a surface that traditionally favors baseline play. Vit Kopriva is predicted to emerge victorious, with a win probability of 62.64% compared to Collignon’s 37.36%. The predicted total number of games played is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Raphael Collignon holds a rank of 85, while Vit Kopriva is slightly ahead at 78. Kopriva's higher form index of 36.15 indicates better recent performance compared to Collignon's 21.28. In terms of Elo ratings, Kopriva also leads significantly with 637.71 against Collignon's 439.87. Both players exhibit no cumulative fatigue, which suggests they are fresh heading into this match. When considering their surface strength indices, Kopriva has an advantage with a score of 5.82 compared to Collignon's 4.50, indicating a better adaptation to clay courts. Notably, there is a difference of more than 5 points in their mean serve indices, with Collignon at 96.45 and Kopriva at 94.56, while the mean return indices are closer, with Collignon at 92.53 and Kopriva at 89.08. In their recent performances, Collignon has struggled, losing all three of his last matches, including a close contest at Bastad against Luciano Darderi. His most recent match resulted in a two-set defeat, showcasing his difficulty in closing out matches. In contrast, Kopriva's last outing ended in a loss as well against Jesper de Jong, but prior to that, he secured a solid 2-0 victory over Hugo Dellien. This win reflects a more favorable trajectory for Kopriva, despite his recent inconsistency.

Final Prediction

Kopriva's higher rank, superior form index, and better adaptation to clay give him a distinct advantage heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be how well each player can maintain their service game, especially given the significant difference in their mean serve indices.