Marin Cilic

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1605 · #101 Hard #55 Clay #196 Grass #57 Last match: Aug 13, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

251-164 60.5% in 415 matches

Clay 53-41
Grass 51-19
Hard 147-104

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 29 14-15 1576 1717 1605
2025 24 12-12 1532 1713 1704
2024 14 6-8 1504 1594 1543
2023 1 0-1 1710 1691 1691
2022 45 27-18 1671 1961 1845
2021 35 20-15 1632 1820 1723
2020 17 9-8 1616 1756 1712
2019 38 20-18 1916 1954 1752
2018 51 36-15 1880 2108 1934
2017 55 37-18 1865 2047 1945
2016 59 41-18 1740 2145 2085
2015 47 29-18 1915 2015 1933

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Daniel Merida L 1-2
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Frances Tiafoe L 1-2
Sho Shimabukuro W 2-0
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Daniil Medvedev L 0-3
Jun 15, 2026 London · Grass Ugo Humbert L 0-2
Jun 08, 2026 S Hertogenbosch · Grass Daniil Medvedev L 1-2
Nuno Borges W 2-1
Denis Shapovalov W 2-1
May 24, 2026 Roland Garros · Clay Moise Kouame L 0-3
May 06, 2026 Rome · Clay Martin Landaluce L 0-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Marin Cilic?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 9.3 actual vs 8.1 projected
4.04 our average miss per match
5.40 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+25% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 14 of the 19 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Marin Cilic follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 29 14-15 55.2% 13 vs 10.7 exp On serve
2025 19 8-11 47.4% 10 vs 6.0 exp Wild card

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Marin Cilic's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The ATP ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/marin-cilic">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)