Yannick Hanfmann vs Vilius Gaubas: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Hanfmann arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 81) with a markedly stronger Elo (662.5) than Gaubas (Elo 482.4), suggesting more consistent results over time. His form index sits at 49.5 versus Gaubas’s 54.3, so recent momentum is slightly with the Lithuanian. Fatigue is a clear differentiator: Hanfmann has logged 170 minutes in the event, while Gaubas has accumulated 433 minutes, a large gap that can matter on demanding clay courts. Both sport almost identical surface strength indices (Hanfmann 5.37, Gaubas 5.27), indicating neither has a pronounced clay-specialist profile according to the proprietary measure. Serve and return metrics paint an intriguing matchup. Gaubas posts a much higher mean serve index (96.39) compared to Hanfmann (75.70) — a gap well over 5 points — and his mean return index (92.88) far outstrips Hanfmann’s (53.68), also a substantial margin. Those numbers suggest Gaubas can both hold serve aggressively and threaten opponents’ service games when fresh. Over the last three matches Hanfmann has impressed in Santiago with straight-set wins over Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Dusan Lajovic after a tough three-set loss in Rio, while Gaubas has won two in Santiago (including a marathon 182-minute match) and suffered a prior quick loss. The recent ledger favors both men in different ways: Hanfmann for efficiency and fresher legs, Gaubas for high-impact serving and returning when not fatigued.