Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Yibing Wu vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction

Yibing Wu

Rank: #243
38%
VS

Alexei Popyrin

Rank: #24
62%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexei Popyrin

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Ranking Trends

Yibing Wu

  • Current #243 2025-07-21
  • 3 mo ago #448 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #410 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #404 2024-10-21
  • 12 mo ago #508 2024-07-22

Alexei Popyrin

  • Current #24 2025-07-21
  • 3 mo ago #26 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #24 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #25 2024-10-21
  • 12 mo ago #46 2024-07-22

Player Metrics

Yibing Wu

Form Index: 59.7
ELO Rating: 380.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1562.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 397.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.3
Clay: 1.2
Grass: 1.0
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 85.9

Alexei Popyrin

Form Index: 32.4
ELO Rating: 1378.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1611.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.4
Clay: 13.2
Grass: 13.1
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Yibing Wu
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

Alexei Popyrin
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Fery (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jack Draper (1-2) grass London 133 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-1) grass London 151 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Zizou Bergs (1-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 182 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Tommy Paul (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Yibing Wu
vs
0
Alexei Popyrin
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Yibing Wu and Alexei Popyrin takes place in the Round of 32 at the Washington tournament, a hard surface event classified as ATP 500. The predicted winner is Alexei Popyrin, with a probability of winning set at 62.10%, while Yibing Wu holds a probability of 37.90%. The anticipated total number of games to be played in this match is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 243, Yibing Wu has shown some improvement with a form index of 59.67 and an Elo rating of 380.13. Wu has a cumulative fatigue of 397 minutes from previous matches, which could impact his performance. His surface strength index of 4.31 indicates a moderate capability on hard surfaces, while his mean serve index of 96.56 is slightly higher than Popyrin's 96.34, but their mean return indices show a notable difference: Wu's 85.88 is lower than Popyrin's 86.98 by over 5 points, suggesting Popyrin may have an advantage in returning serves. In contrast, Alexei Popyrin, ranked 24, comes into this match with a form index of 32.37 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 1378.21. His fatigue level stands at 0.0, indicating he is fresh and ready to compete. Popyrin's performance in his last three matches includes a challenging stretch on grass, where he lost two out of three. However, his recent defeat against Arthur Fery shows he is capable of competing at high levels despite the setbacks.

Final Prediction

Alexei Popyrin's edge comes from his higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and fresh condition, which collectively enhance his chances against Yibing Wu. A critical factor to watch in this match will be Popyrin's return game, where his better return index could play a decisive role in dictating the match's tempo.

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