Ekaterina Alexandrova

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 1819 · #28 Hard #23 Clay #45 Grass #16 Last match: Oct 19, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

264-204 56.4% in 468 matches

Clay 51-55
Grass 39-21
Hard 174-128

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 45 21-24 1838 1870 1819
2025 72 48-24 1685 1945 1895
2024 49 26-23 1708 1928 1745
2023 54 33-21 1691 1871 1782
2022 52 34-18 1674 1876 1820
2021 46 25-21 1678 1822 1741
2020 30 18-12 1642 1783 1701
2019 60 34-26 1580 1758 1739
2018 30 13-17 1570 1615 1602
2017 30 12-18 1560 1619 1578

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Oct 19, 2026 Ningbo · Hard Hanyu Guo W 2-0
Oct 12, 2026 Wuhan · Hard Leylah Fernandez L 1-2
Sep 30, 2026 Beijing · Hard Mirra Andreeva L 0-2
Linda Noskova W 2-0
Diana Shnaider W 2-1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich W 2-0
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Marta Kostyuk L 0-2
Kimberly Birrell W 2-1
McCartney Kessler W 2-0
Aug 23, 2026 Monterrey · Hard Clara Tauson L 1-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Ekaterina Alexandrova?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 4.7 actual vs 4.5 projected
2.38 our average miss per match
2.74 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+13% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 67 of the 72 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Ekaterina Alexandrova follow the script?

Wild card · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 45 21-24 53.3% 21 vs 14.6 exp Wild card
2025 bt 72 48-24 66.7% 24 vs 26.2 exp On serve
2024 bt 49 26-23 55.1% 22 vs 18.1 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Ekaterina Alexandrova's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/ekaterina-alexandrova">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)