Leylah Fernandez

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 1698 · #42 Hard #35 Clay #57 Grass #90 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

163-132 55.3% in 295 matches

Clay 27-31
Grass 11-14
Hard 125-87

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 39 17-22 1682 1734 1698
2025 55 32-23 1676 1857 1836
2024 45 24-21 1638 1777 1758
2023 56 33-23 1619 1779 1751
2022 29 16-13 1728 1889 1717
2021 38 22-16 1584 1957 1897
2020 24 15-9 1528 1710 1694
2019 5 2-3 1507 1520 1488
2018 4 2-2 1500 1527 1501

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Jessica Pegula L 1-2
Mananchaya Sawangkaew W 2-0
Shuai Zhang W 2-0
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Xiyu Wang L 1-2
Aug 02, 2026 Montreal · Hard Naomi Osaka L 0-2
Mirra Andreeva W 2-0
Renata Zarazua W 2-0
Jul 27, 2026 Washington Dc · Hard Alexandra Eala L 0-2
Magda Linette W 2-0
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Janice Tjen L 0-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Leylah Fernandez?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 2.4 actual vs 2.7 projected
1.72 our average miss per match
1.69 baseline average miss (last five matches)
-2% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 48 of the 53 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Leylah Fernandez follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 39 17-22 56.4% 17 vs 14.7 exp On serve
2025 bt 53 30-23 66.0% 18 vs 19.0 exp On serve
2024 bt 45 24-21 53.3% 21 vs 16.0 exp Wild card

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Leylah Fernandez's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/leylah-fernandez">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)