Karolina Muchova

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 2008 · #8 Hard #7 Clay #24 Grass #7 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

190-87 68.6% in 277 matches

Clay 33-18
Grass 20-13
Hard 137-56

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 47 37-10 1689 2130 2008
2025 39 24-15 1708 1888 1851
2024 25 19-6 1865 2080 2013
2023 51 38-13 1542 2054 2013
2022 16 8-8 1686 1796 1708
2021 28 19-9 1704 2022 1826
2020 15 7-8 1685 1751 1677
2019 44 31-13 1543 1874 1839
2018 5 3-2 1520 1623 1623
2017 7 4-3 1522 1549 1532

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Emma Navarro L 0-2
Katie Boulter W 2-0
Sinja Kraus W 2-0
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Linda Noskova L 1-2
Coco Gauff W 2-1
Naomi Osaka W 2-0
Barbora Krejcikova W 2-1
Mananchaya Sawangkaew W 2-0
Shuai Zhang W 2-0
Anastasia Zakharova W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Karolina Muchova?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 4.4 actual vs 3.9 projected
2.50 our average miss per match
2.81 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+11% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 34 of the 39 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Karolina Muchova follow the script?

Straight sets · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 47 37-10 80.9% 9 vs 14.1 exp Straight sets
2025 bt 39 24-15 56.4% 17 vs 13.7 exp On serve
2024 bt 25 19-6 92.0% 2 vs 7.7 exp Straight sets

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Karolina Muchova's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/karolina-muchova">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)