Emma Navarro

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 1875 · #19 Hard #31 Clay #32 Grass #17 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

120-88 57.7% in 208 matches

Clay 27-23
Grass 25-13
Hard 68-52

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 40 23-17 1752 1875 1875
2025 54 30-24 1855 1919 1802
2024 63 43-20 1648 2040 1870
2023 36 21-15 1542 1732 1698
2022 5 1-4 1530 1531 1516
2021 7 2-5 1509 1547 1458
2020 1 0-1 1508 1495 1495
2019 2 0-2 1500 1484 1469

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Karolina Muchova W 2-0
Caty McNally W 2-1
Lois Boisson W 2-1
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Jessica Pegula L 0-2
Anhelina Kalinina W 2-1
Aug 02, 2026 Montreal · Hard Alina Korneeva L 0-2
Jul 27, 2026 Washington Dc · Hard Elisabetta Cocciaretto L 1-2
Sofia Kenin W 2-0
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Marta Kostyuk L 1-2
Oksana Selekhmeteva W 2-1

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Emma Navarro?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 1.5 actual vs 1.6 projected
1.18 our average miss per match
1.04 baseline average miss (last five matches)
-14% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 49 of the 54 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Emma Navarro follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 40 23-17 67.5% 13 vs 14.3 exp On serve
2025 bt 54 30-24 61.1% 21 vs 20.0 exp On serve
2024 bt 63 43-20 65.1% 22 vs 22.7 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Emma Navarro's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/emma-navarro">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)