Lucia Bronzetti

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 1510 Last match: May 24, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

91-109 45.5% in 200 matches

Clay 25-29
Grass 7-9
Hard 59-71

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 3 0-3 1574 1562 1510
2025 44 18-26 1588 1711 1553
2024 55 24-31 1614 1644 1608
2023 40 18-22 1595 1621 1595
2022 39 20-19 1550 1655 1550
2021 19 11-8 1516 1615 1555

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
May 24, 2026 Roland Garros · Clay Marie Bouzkova L 0-2
May 05, 2026 Rome · Clay McCartney Kessler L 1-2
Feb 01, 2026 Cluj Napoca · Hard Anastasia Potapova L 1-2
Oct 27, 2025 Chennai · Hard Katarzyna Kawa L 1-2
Oct 20, 2025 Guangzhou · Hard Camila Osorio L 0-2
Oct 13, 2025 Ningbo · Hard Talia Gibson L 0-2
Oct 06, 2025 Wuhan · Hard Yue Yuan L 0-2
Kimberly Birrell W 2-1
Fangran Tian W 2-0
Sep 24, 2025 Beijing · Hard Kamilla Rakhimova L 0-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Lucia Bronzetti?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 2.3 actual vs 1.9 projected
1.66 our average miss per match
1.76 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+6% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 33 of the 38 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Lucia Bronzetti follow the script?

On serve · 2025
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2025 bt 38 15-23 57.9% 16 vs 14.0 exp On serve
2024 bt 45 19-26 57.8% 19 vs 16.6 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Lucia Bronzetti's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/lucia-bronzetti">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)