McCartney Kessler

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 1500 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

65-55 54.2% in 120 matches

Clay 10-12
Grass 10-8
Hard 45-35

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 34 16-18 1500 1681 1606
2025 58 35-23 1500 1831 1780
2024 28 14-14 1500 1623 1595

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Ekaterina Alexandrova L 0-2
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Caty McNally L 0-2
Aug 02, 2026 Montreal · Hard Anna Kalinskaya L 1-2
Cadence Brace W 2-0
Jul 27, 2026 Memphis · Hard Renata Zarazua L 0-2
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Aryna Sabalenka L 0-2
Oleksandra Oliynykova W 2-0
Jun 22, 2026 Eastbourne · Grass Madison Keys L 0-2
Anhelina Kalinina W 2-0
Daria Kasatkina W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on McCartney Kessler?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 1.9 actual vs 1.9 projected
1.38 our average miss per match
1.45 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+5% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 49 of the 54 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does McCartney Kessler follow the script?

Straight sets · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 32 14-18 78.1% 7 vs 11.3 exp Straight sets
2025 bt 54 31-23 63.0% 20 vs 21.5 exp On serve
2024 bt 18 8-10 61.1% 7 vs 6.1 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in McCartney Kessler's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The WTA ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/mccartney-kessler">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)