Tatjana Maria

WTA ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2017

ELO 1675 · #50 Hard #208 Clay #607 Grass #25 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from WTA entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

147-192 43.4% in 339 matches

Clay 37-47
Grass 35-21
Hard 75-124

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 45 21-24 1623 1709 1675
2025 42 17-25 1583 1723 1533
2024 40 13-27 1622 1654 1451
2023 48 23-25 1582 1652 1589
2022 36 21-15 1524 1819 1692
2021 1 0-1 1570 1546 1546
2020 10 3-7 1573 1572 1496
2019 38 15-23 1580 1676 1561
2018 39 15-24 1612 1704 1617
2017 40 19-21 1552 1641 1590

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Nikola Bartunkova L 1-2
Jelena Ostapenko W 2-1
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Diana Shnaider L 0-2
Dayana Yastremska W 2-0
Aug 02, 2026 Montreal · Hard Caty McNally L 1-2
Isabella Marton W 2-0
Jul 27, 2026 Memphis · Hard Renata Zarazua L 0-2
Talia Gibson W 2-0
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Iva Jovic L 0-2
Yulia Putintseva W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Tatjana Maria?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 4.4 actual vs 3.1 projected
2.48 our average miss per match
2.39 baseline average miss (last five matches)
-4% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 28 of the 33 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Tatjana Maria follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 42 18-24 61.9% 16 vs 14.0 exp On serve
2025 bt 33 14-19 54.5% 15 vs 11.6 exp On serve
2024 bt 39 13-26 59.0% 16 vs 13.8 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Tatjana Maria's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable WTA players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/wta_tennis-power-rankings/tatjana-maria">WTA ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)