2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.9%
Final Result Accuracy
53.6%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
61.3%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.6%
Double Chance Accuracy
May 17, 2026
Schalke 04 vs Braunschweig
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 60.0% (Schalke 04)
Draw: 22.6%
Away Win: 17.4% (Braunschweig)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.2%
Under: 50.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.5%
No Goal: 53.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
May 17, 2026
Greuther Furth vs Fortuna Dusseldorf
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.1% (Greuther Furth)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 34.0% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.3%
Under: 46.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.4%
No Goal: 45.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
May 17, 2026
Bielefeld vs Hertha
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.7% (Bielefeld)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 32.5% (Hertha)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.7%
Under: 47.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 7
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 17, 2026
Dresden vs Holstein Kiel
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.2% (Dresden)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 28.8% (Holstein Kiel)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.6%
Under: 50.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.5%
No Goal: 47.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 17, 2026
Elversberg vs Preußen Münster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 71.3% (Elversberg)
Draw: 17.0%
Away Win: 11.7% (Preußen Münster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.9%
Under: 47.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.7%
No Goal: 50.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
May 17, 2026
Darmstadt vs Paderborn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.8% (Darmstadt)
Draw: 29.0%
Away Win: 38.2% (Paderborn)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.3%
Under: 45.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.6%
No Goal: 40.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
May 17, 2026
Hannover vs Nurnberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.3% (Hannover)
Draw: 25.6%
Away Win: 19.1% (Nurnberg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.8%
Under: 44.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.2%
No Goal: 45.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 17, 2026
Karlsruhe vs Bochum
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.2% (Karlsruhe)
Draw: 29.3%
Away Win: 38.6% (Bochum)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.3%
Under: 45.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.3%
No Goal: 44.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 17, 2026
Magdeburg vs Kaiserslautern
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 48.3% (Magdeburg)
Draw: 27.0%
Away Win: 24.7% (Kaiserslautern)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.3%
Under: 47.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
May 10, 2026
Preußen Münster vs Darmstadt
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.6% (Preußen Münster)
Draw: 28.1%
Away Win: 40.3% (Darmstadt)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.2%
Under: 45.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.7%
No Goal: 43.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 10, 2026
Hertha vs Greuther Furth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 57.0% (Hertha)
Draw: 24.9%
Away Win: 18.1% (Greuther Furth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.7%
Under: 45.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.9%
No Goal: 47.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 10, 2026
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Elversberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.6% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 44.2% (Elversberg)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.7%
Under: 47.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.2%
No Goal: 45.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 09, 2026
Nurnberg vs Schalke 04
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.1% (Nurnberg)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 34.6% (Schalke 04)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.0%
Under: 55.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.5%
No Goal: 48.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
May 09, 2026
Holstein Kiel vs Magdeburg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.3% (Holstein Kiel)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 28.4% (Magdeburg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.6%
Under: 47.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.2%
No Goal: 45.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 09, 2026
Braunschweig vs Dresden
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.4% (Braunschweig)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 33.3% (Dresden)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.3%
Under: 51.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.5%
No Goal: 46.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 09, 2026
Bochum vs Hannover
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.3% (Bochum)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 36.9% (Hannover)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.9%
Under: 48.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.3%
No Goal: 40.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 08, 2026
Paderborn vs Karlsruhe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 67.3% (Paderborn)
Draw: 18.7%
Away Win: 14.1% (Karlsruhe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 57.0%
Under: 43.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.7%
No Goal: 46.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 08, 2026
Kaiserslautern vs Bielefeld
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.5% (Kaiserslautern)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 36.1% (Bielefeld)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.9%
Under: 48.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.0%
No Goal: 45.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
May 03, 2026
Karlsruhe vs Darmstadt
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.9% (Karlsruhe)
Draw: 26.8%
Away Win: 41.3% (Darmstadt)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.3%
Under: 44.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.0%
No Goal: 43.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 03, 2026
Hannover vs Preußen Münster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 69.2% (Hannover)
Draw: 18.0%
Away Win: 12.8% (Preußen Münster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.0%
Under: 46.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.0%
No Goal: 50.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 03, 2026
Greuther Furth vs Nurnberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.4% (Greuther Furth)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 39.2% (Nurnberg)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.6%
Under: 46.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.6%
No Goal: 46.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 03, 2026
Elversberg vs Paderborn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.5% (Elversberg)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 28.6% (Paderborn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.7%
Under: 47.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 60.1%
No Goal: 39.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 03, 2026
Magdeburg vs Hertha
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.8% (Magdeburg)
Draw: 29.6%
Away Win: 33.6% (Hertha)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.9%
Under: 45.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.5%
No Goal: 43.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
May 02, 2026
Bielefeld vs Bochum
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.1% (Bielefeld)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 33.1% (Bochum)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.5%
Under: 48.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.6%
No Goal: 45.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 02, 2026
Holstein Kiel vs Braunschweig
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.9% (Holstein Kiel)
Draw: 27.5%
Away Win: 25.6% (Braunschweig)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.2%
No Goal: 52.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
May 02, 2026
Dresden vs Kaiserslautern
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.2% (Dresden)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 31.4% (Kaiserslautern)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.7%
Under: 47.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.3%
No Goal: 45.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
May 02, 2026
Schalke 04 vs Fortuna Dusseldorf
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.9% (Schalke 04)
Draw: 25.4%
Away Win: 20.7% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.5%
Under: 48.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 26, 2026
Paderborn vs Schalke 04
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.1% (Paderborn)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 30.8% (Schalke 04)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.8%
Under: 50.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.8%
No Goal: 44.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 26, 2026
Nurnberg vs Magdeburg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.8% (Nurnberg)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 32.0% (Magdeburg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.1%
Under: 45.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.7%
No Goal: 41.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 26, 2026
Bochum vs Greuther Furth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.9% (Bochum)
Draw: 25.1%
Away Win: 20.0% (Greuther Furth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.9%
Under: 45.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.6%
No Goal: 46.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal