2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.9%
Final Result Accuracy
53.6%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
61.3%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.6%
Double Chance Accuracy
April 25, 2026
Darmstadt vs Elversberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.2% (Darmstadt)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 40.2% (Elversberg)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.8%
Under: 45.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.8%
No Goal: 44.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 25, 2026
Preußen Münster vs Bielefeld
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.3% (Preußen Münster)
Draw: 28.6%
Away Win: 41.1% (Bielefeld)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.3%
Under: 54.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.3%
No Goal: 48.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 25, 2026
Karlsruhe vs Hannover
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.6% (Karlsruhe)
Draw: 27.1%
Away Win: 46.3% (Hannover)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.8%
Under: 45.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.7%
No Goal: 42.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 25, 2026
Hertha vs Holstein Kiel
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.4% (Hertha)
Draw: 29.6%
Away Win: 28.0% (Holstein Kiel)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.8%
Under: 53.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.0%
No Goal: 48.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 24, 2026
Kaiserslautern vs Braunschweig
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.5% (Kaiserslautern)
Draw: 28.0%
Away Win: 27.5% (Braunschweig)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.2%
Under: 46.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.0%
No Goal: 48.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 24, 2026
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Dresden
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.5% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 31.9% (Dresden)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.9%
Under: 47.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.3%
No Goal: 46.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 19, 2026
Braunschweig vs Hertha
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.2% (Braunschweig)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 39.6% (Hertha)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.3%
Under: 46.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.5%
No Goal: 42.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 19, 2026
Greuther Furth vs Darmstadt
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.1% (Greuther Furth)
Draw: 27.0%
Away Win: 44.8% (Darmstadt)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.5%
Under: 46.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.6%
No Goal: 44.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 19, 2026
Schalke 04 vs Preußen Münster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.2% (Schalke 04)
Draw: 25.3%
Away Win: 20.5% (Preußen Münster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.8%
Under: 53.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.9%
No Goal: 54.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Hannover vs Paderborn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.5% (Hannover)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 28.8% (Paderborn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.6%
Under: 44.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 60.8%
No Goal: 39.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 18, 2026
Magdeburg vs Fortuna Dusseldorf
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.8% (Magdeburg)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 31.1% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.4%
Under: 50.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.5%
No Goal: 46.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 18, 2026
Dresden vs Bochum
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.2% (Dresden)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 35.3% (Bochum)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.0%
Under: 47.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.9%
No Goal: 43.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 18, 2026
Bielefeld vs Nurnberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.8% (Bielefeld)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 30.0% (Nurnberg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.7%
Under: 47.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.1%
No Goal: 45.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 17, 2026
Holstein Kiel vs Kaiserslautern
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.3% (Holstein Kiel)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 29.0% (Kaiserslautern)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.1%
Under: 47.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.9%
No Goal: 47.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 17, 2026
Elversberg vs Karlsruhe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 69.2% (Elversberg)
Draw: 18.7%
Away Win: 12.1% (Karlsruhe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 56.8%
Under: 43.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.0%
No Goal: 45.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 12, 2026
Elversberg vs Schalke 04
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.1% (Elversberg)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 29.4% (Schalke 04)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.5%
Under: 50.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.2%
No Goal: 45.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 12, 2026
Bochum vs Braunschweig
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.5% (Bochum)
Draw: 28.7%
Away Win: 26.8% (Braunschweig)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.5%
Under: 48.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 12, 2026
Paderborn vs Magdeburg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 51.3% (Paderborn)
Draw: 25.4%
Away Win: 23.3% (Magdeburg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.8%
Under: 44.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.2%
No Goal: 40.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 7
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 11, 2026
Darmstadt vs Hannover
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.7% (Darmstadt)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 37.3% (Hannover)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.0%
Under: 45.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.8%
No Goal: 41.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 11, 2026
Preußen Münster vs Greuther Furth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.6% (Preußen Münster)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 24.9% (Greuther Furth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.4%
Under: 46.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.0%
No Goal: 48.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 11, 2026
Nurnberg vs Dresden
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.8% (Nurnberg)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 30.7% (Dresden)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.7%
Under: 45.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.0%
No Goal: 43.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 11, 2026
Hertha vs Kaiserslautern
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.6% (Hertha)
Draw: 25.9%
Away Win: 23.4% (Kaiserslautern)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.7%
No Goal: 47.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 10, 2026
Karlsruhe vs Bielefeld
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.0% (Karlsruhe)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 38.8% (Bielefeld)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.6%
Under: 46.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.0%
No Goal: 45.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 10, 2026
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.9% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 29.8% (Holstein Kiel)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.9%
Under: 55.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 05, 2026
Braunschweig vs Nurnberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.7% (Braunschweig)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 34.9% (Nurnberg)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.5%
Under: 49.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.3%
No Goal: 45.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 05, 2026
Hannover vs Elversberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.0% (Hannover)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 31.8% (Elversberg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.2%
Under: 44.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.8%
No Goal: 40.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 05, 2026
Greuther Furth vs Paderborn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 22.6% (Greuther Furth)
Draw: 24.9%
Away Win: 52.5% (Paderborn)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.0%
Under: 49.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.6%
No Goal: 43.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 05, 2026
Holstein Kiel vs Preußen Münster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.6% (Holstein Kiel)
Draw: 29.6%
Away Win: 30.8% (Preußen Münster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.0%
Under: 52.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.2%
No Goal: 48.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 05, 2026
Schalke 04 vs Karlsruhe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 65.7% (Schalke 04)
Draw: 20.7%
Away Win: 13.5% (Karlsruhe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.8%
Under: 48.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.5%
No Goal: 44.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 04, 2026
Dresden vs Hertha
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.8% (Dresden)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 35.9% (Hertha)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.2%
Under: 45.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.6%
No Goal: 40.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal