2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.9%
Final Result Accuracy
53.6%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
61.3%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.6%
Double Chance Accuracy
January 17, 2026
Dresden vs Greuther Furth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.7% (Dresden)
Draw: 24.8%
Away Win: 27.6% (Greuther Furth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 58.7%
Under: 41.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.5%
No Goal: 40.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 16, 2026
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Bielefeld
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.3% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 35.6% (Bielefeld)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.2%
Under: 48.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.6%
No Goal: 45.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 16, 2026
Braunschweig vs Magdeburg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.6% (Braunschweig)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 34.1% (Magdeburg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.0%
Under: 47.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 62.1%
No Goal: 37.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 21, 2025
Preußen Münster vs Elversberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.7% (Preußen Münster)
Draw: 27.5%
Away Win: 45.9% (Elversberg)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.2%
Under: 47.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.8%
No Goal: 44.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 21, 2025
Nurnberg vs Hannover
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.4% (Nurnberg)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 41.1% (Hannover)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.4%
Under: 49.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.6%
No Goal: 44.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 21, 2025
Braunschweig vs Schalke 04
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.7% (Braunschweig)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 44.0% (Schalke 04)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.8%
Under: 49.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.0%
No Goal: 47.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Holstein Kiel vs Dresden
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.1% (Holstein Kiel)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 31.1% (Dresden)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.3%
Under: 48.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.6%
No Goal: 48.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Kaiserslautern vs Magdeburg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.1% (Kaiserslautern)
Draw: 28.7%
Away Win: 24.3% (Magdeburg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 56.9%
Under: 43.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.6%
No Goal: 40.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Greuther Furth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.2% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 30.1% (Greuther Furth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 57.9%
Under: 42.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.5%
No Goal: 42.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Bochum vs Karlsruhe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.8% (Bochum)
Draw: 24.0%
Away Win: 21.2% (Karlsruhe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.1%
Under: 45.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.4%
No Goal: 45.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 19, 2025
Hertha vs Bielefeld
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.9% (Hertha)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 30.1% (Bielefeld)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.6%
Under: 49.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.7%
No Goal: 46.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 19, 2025
Paderborn vs Darmstadt
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.8% (Paderborn)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 28.6% (Darmstadt)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.3%
Under: 46.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.4%
No Goal: 40.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 14, 2025
Schalke 04 vs Nurnberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 58.4% (Schalke 04)
Draw: 25.0%
Away Win: 16.6% (Nurnberg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.4%
Under: 49.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 14, 2025
Elversberg vs Fortuna Dusseldorf
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 67.4% (Elversberg)
Draw: 20.4%
Away Win: 12.2% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.8%
Under: 45.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 14, 2025
Darmstadt vs Preußen Münster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 56.9% (Darmstadt)
Draw: 25.3%
Away Win: 17.7% (Preußen Münster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.4%
Under: 44.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.9%
No Goal: 44.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 13, 2025
Hannover vs Bochum
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.4% (Hannover)
Draw: 28.0%
Away Win: 25.6% (Bochum)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.1%
Under: 45.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.8%
No Goal: 43.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 13, 2025
Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.2% (Magdeburg)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 32.1% (Holstein Kiel)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.7%
Under: 47.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.3%
No Goal: 45.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Karlsruhe vs Paderborn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.7% (Karlsruhe)
Draw: 26.6%
Away Win: 46.7% (Paderborn)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.3%
Under: 47.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.4%
No Goal: 44.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 13, 2025
Bielefeld vs Kaiserslautern
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.8% (Bielefeld)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 34.0% (Kaiserslautern)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.0%
Under: 48.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.7%
No Goal: 41.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 12, 2025
Greuther Furth vs Hertha
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.6% (Greuther Furth)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 38.1% (Hertha)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.4%
Under: 48.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.0%
No Goal: 46.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 12, 2025
Dresden vs Braunschweig
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.9% (Dresden)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 31.7% (Braunschweig)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.7%
Under: 48.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.3%
No Goal: 48.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 07, 2025
Nurnberg vs Greuther Furth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.1% (Nurnberg)
Draw: 25.4%
Away Win: 21.5% (Greuther Furth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.8%
Under: 45.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.1%
No Goal: 44.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 07, 2025
Hertha vs Magdeburg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.4% (Hertha)
Draw: 28.5%
Away Win: 24.0% (Magdeburg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.1%
Under: 47.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.6%
No Goal: 46.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 07, 2025
Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.5% (Braunschweig)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 40.1% (Holstein Kiel)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.6%
Under: 49.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.1%
No Goal: 46.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 06, 2025
Darmstadt vs Karlsruhe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 56.8% (Darmstadt)
Draw: 24.3%
Away Win: 19.0% (Karlsruhe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 58.5%
Under: 41.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.7%
No Goal: 43.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 06, 2025
Paderborn vs Elversberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.0% (Paderborn)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 32.2% (Elversberg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.5%
Under: 46.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.4%
No Goal: 42.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 06, 2025
Kaiserslautern vs Dresden
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.8% (Kaiserslautern)
Draw: 27.2%
Away Win: 22.1% (Dresden)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.6%
Under: 44.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.8%
No Goal: 43.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 06, 2025
Bochum vs Bielefeld
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.2% (Bochum)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 28.5% (Bielefeld)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.2%
Under: 49.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.4%
No Goal: 42.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 05, 2025
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Schalke 04
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.6% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 42.5% (Schalke 04)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.1%
Under: 49.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.8%
No Goal: 50.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 05, 2025
Preußen Münster vs Hannover
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.5% (Preußen Münster)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 42.0% (Hannover)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.3%
Under: 46.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.5%
No Goal: 41.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal