Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
September 26, 2025
West Brom vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.6% (West Brom)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 30.5% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.0%
Under: 56.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.0%
No Goal: 50.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 22, 2025
Millwall vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.7% (Millwall)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 29.0% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.8%
Under: 53.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.8%
No Goal: 50.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 21, 2025
Bristol City vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.7% (Bristol City)
Draw: 27.7%
Away Win: 21.5% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.5%
Under: 48.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.9%
No Goal: 48.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 20, 2025
QPR vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.1% (QPR)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 35.2% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.9%
Under: 55.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.5%
No Goal: 48.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 20, 2025
Sheffield United vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.7% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 31.2% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 20, 2025
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 75.4% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 16.4%
Away Win: 8.2% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.8%
Under: 45.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.9%
No Goal: 47.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 20, 2025
Norwich vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.2% (Norwich)
Draw: 29.6%
Away Win: 26.2% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.7%
Under: 51.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.3%
No Goal: 45.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 20, 2025
Hull vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.1% (Hull)
Draw: 29.8%
Away Win: 38.1% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.1%
Under: 49.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.7%
No Goal: 46.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 20, 2025
Derby vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.3% (Derby)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 33.6% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.9%
Under: 57.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.7%
No Goal: 53.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 20, 2025
Leicester vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.5% (Leicester)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 29.1% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.9%
Under: 51.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 61.6%
No Goal: 38.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 20, 2025
Birmingham vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.3% (Birmingham)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 24.7% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 36.2%
Under: 63.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 39.9%
No Goal: 60.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 19, 2025
Middlesbrough vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.6% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 25.5% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.5%
Under: 59.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.6%
No Goal: 53.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal