Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
October 04, 2025
Bristol City vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 52.5% (Bristol City)
Draw: 27.1%
Away Win: 20.4% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.9%
Under: 49.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.2%
No Goal: 44.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Swansea vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.5% (Swansea)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 34.6% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.6%
Under: 58.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Millwall vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.7% (Millwall)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 32.8% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.4%
Under: 56.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.2%
No Goal: 53.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 04, 2025
Preston vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.7% (Preston)
Draw: 32.2%
Away Win: 30.2% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.9%
Under: 58.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.7%
No Goal: 53.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 04, 2025
Watford vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.4% (Watford)
Draw: 29.3%
Away Win: 23.3% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.7%
Under: 49.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.3%
No Goal: 49.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.0% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 31.0% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.7%
Under: 51.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.8%
No Goal: 50.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 03, 2025
Wrexham vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.4% (Wrexham)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 35.9% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.6%
Under: 56.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.3%
No Goal: 48.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 01, 2025
QPR vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.5% (QPR)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 24.9% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.6%
No Goal: 48.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 01, 2025
Portsmouth vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.4% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 28.2% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.2%
Under: 49.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 01, 2025
Norwich vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.2% (Norwich)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 34.9% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.8%
Under: 55.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.8%
No Goal: 50.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 01, 2025
Millwall vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.2% (Millwall)
Draw: 27.9%
Away Win: 42.9% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.5%
Under: 51.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.3%
No Goal: 44.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 30, 2025
Leicester vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 58.4% (Leicester)
Draw: 25.3%
Away Win: 16.3% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.7%
Under: 50.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.0%
No Goal: 45.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 30, 2025
Birmingham vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 75.2% (Birmingham)
Draw: 16.9%
Away Win: 8.0% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.3%
Under: 47.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.4%
No Goal: 51.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 30, 2025
Blackburn vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.4% (Blackburn)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 33.1% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.1%
Under: 57.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.1%
No Goal: 53.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 30, 2025
Bristol City vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.2% (Bristol City)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 33.0% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.5%
Under: 56.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.2%
No Goal: 45.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 30, 2025
Hull vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.0% (Hull)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 31.8% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.7%
Under: 51.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.1%
No Goal: 51.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 30, 2025
Middlesbrough vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.4% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 23.6% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.4%
Under: 57.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.1%
No Goal: 52.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 30, 2025
Sheffield United vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.3% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 38.1% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.9%
Under: 50.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 30, 2025
Derby vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.9% (Derby)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 33.7% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.2%
Under: 59.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.9%
No Goal: 54.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 27, 2025
Coventry vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 51.3% (Coventry)
Draw: 27.3%
Away Win: 21.4% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.0%
Under: 55.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.0%
No Goal: 53.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
Watford vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.9% (Watford)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 27.7% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.5%
Under: 52.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.6%
No Goal: 46.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 27, 2025
Stoke vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.8% (Stoke)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 23.6% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.8%
Under: 55.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 27, 2025
Southampton vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.0% (Southampton)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 26.6% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.6%
Under: 51.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.3%
No Goal: 50.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 27, 2025
Sheffield Weds vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.1% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 34.0% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.4%
Under: 47.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.4%
No Goal: 42.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 27, 2025
Preston vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.3% (Preston)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 33.2% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.8%
Under: 58.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
Oxford vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.6% (Oxford)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 32.3% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.5%
Under: 52.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.0%
No Goal: 52.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
Ipswich vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.4% (Ipswich)
Draw: 26.2%
Away Win: 19.4% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.9%
Under: 56.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.7%
No Goal: 52.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 27, 2025
Charlton vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.7% (Charlton)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 27.7% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.0%
Under: 53.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.3%
No Goal: 50.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
Wrexham vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.9% (Wrexham)
Draw: 28.3%
Away Win: 24.8% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.4%
No Goal: 44.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 27, 2025
Swansea vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.1% (Swansea)
Draw: 29.8%
Away Win: 27.2% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.8%
Under: 54.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.8%
No Goal: 52.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal