Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
October 24, 2025
Preston vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.2% (Preston)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 30.6% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.9%
Under: 55.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.0%
No Goal: 52.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 22, 2025
Sheffield Weds vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 22.5% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 23.5%
Away Win: 53.9% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.3%
Under: 51.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 22, 2025
Wrexham vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 48.2% (Wrexham)
Draw: 28.1%
Away Win: 23.7% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.5%
Under: 49.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 22, 2025
Watford vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.0% (Watford)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 33.8% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.2%
Under: 51.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 22, 2025
Swansea vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.1% (Swansea)
Draw: 32.0%
Away Win: 30.0% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.7%
Under: 55.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 21, 2025
Millwall vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.1% (Millwall)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 34.4% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.8%
Under: 56.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.2%
No Goal: 51.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 21, 2025
Derby vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.4% (Derby)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 30.5% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.2%
Under: 54.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.3%
No Goal: 51.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 21, 2025
Hull vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.1% (Hull)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 43.0% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.8%
Under: 53.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.8%
No Goal: 44.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 21, 2025
Ipswich vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 59.5% (Ipswich)
Draw: 24.2%
Away Win: 16.3% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.5%
Under: 54.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 21, 2025
Blackburn vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.8% (Blackburn)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 32.8% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.5%
Under: 56.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.8%
No Goal: 52.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 21, 2025
Portsmouth vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 25.5% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 27.3%
Away Win: 47.2% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.5%
Under: 50.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.0%
No Goal: 45.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 21, 2025
Bristol City vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.3% (Bristol City)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 31.4% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.0%
Under: 54.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.3%
No Goal: 45.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 21, 2025
Preston vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.8% (Preston)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 36.5% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.1%
Under: 58.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.3%
No Goal: 50.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
Coventry vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 71.4% (Coventry)
Draw: 18.6%
Away Win: 10.0% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.5%
Under: 51.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.7%
No Goal: 51.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
Oxford vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.6% (Oxford)
Draw: 32.0%
Away Win: 30.4% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.0%
Under: 54.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.2%
No Goal: 51.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
QPR vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.4% (QPR)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 30.2% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.6%
Under: 56.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.5%
No Goal: 52.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Southampton vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.7% (Southampton)
Draw: 27.1%
Away Win: 19.2% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.4%
Under: 54.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.5%
No Goal: 51.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
Birmingham vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 61.3% (Birmingham)
Draw: 24.2%
Away Win: 14.5% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.7%
Under: 51.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.5%
No Goal: 49.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Charlton vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 72.0% (Charlton)
Draw: 18.5%
Away Win: 9.5% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.6%
Under: 50.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Norwich vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.9% (Norwich)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 37.7% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.8%
No Goal: 48.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
Sheffield United vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.8% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 32.5% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.3%
Under: 51.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
Stoke vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 48.7% (Stoke)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 22.1% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.7%
Under: 51.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.6%
No Goal: 46.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
West Brom vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.6% (West Brom)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 24.8% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.2%
Under: 55.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.9%
No Goal: 55.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Leicester vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 61.6% (Leicester)
Draw: 23.5%
Away Win: 14.9% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.4%
Under: 51.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 17, 2025
Middlesbrough vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.5% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 37.3% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.3%
Under: 57.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.1%
No Goal: 47.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 05, 2025
Ipswich vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 66.8% (Ipswich)
Draw: 21.1%
Away Win: 12.1% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.6%
Under: 54.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Derby vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.1% (Derby)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 38.1% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.8%
Under: 56.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.9%
No Goal: 51.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Blackburn vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.1% (Blackburn)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 33.7% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.4%
No Goal: 52.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Hull vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.0% (Hull)
Draw: 28.6%
Away Win: 31.3% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.0%
Under: 52.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.7%
No Goal: 50.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 04, 2025
Sheffield Weds vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 19.4% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 22.3%
Away Win: 58.3% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.6%
Under: 48.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.1%
No Goal: 41.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal