Bundesliga 2025-2026: Augsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction

Augsburg

Home Team
15%
VS

Union Berlin

Away Team
71%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 16 14 2 0 63 12 51 44
2 Dortmund 16 9 6 1 29 15 14 33
3 RB Leipzig 15 9 2 4 30 19 11 29
4 Leverkusen 16 9 2 5 34 24 10 29
5 Stuttgart 16 9 2 5 29 23 6 29
6 Hoffenheim 15 8 3 4 29 20 9 27
7 Ein Frankfurt 16 7 5 4 33 33 0 26
8 Freiburg 16 6 5 5 27 27 0 23
9 Union Berlin 16 6 4 6 22 25 -3 22
10 M'gladbach 16 5 4 7 22 24 -2 19
11 FC Koln 16 4 5 7 24 26 -2 17
12 Werder Bremen 15 4 5 6 18 28 -10 17
13 Hamburg 16 4 4 8 17 27 -10 16
14 Wolfsburg 16 4 3 9 24 36 -12 15
15 Augsburg 16 4 2 10 17 32 -15 14
16 St Pauli 15 3 3 9 13 26 -13 12
17 Heidenheim 16 3 3 10 15 36 -21 12
18 Mainz 16 1 6 9 15 28 -13 9

Recent Trends

Augsburg ❌ ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 0 - 3)

Union Berlin ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Augsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.43
# Clean Sheets: 2

Union Berlin

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.34
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Union Berlin is predicted to win the upcoming match against Augsburg with a high probability of 71.0%. The likelihood of a home victory for Augsburg stands at just 15.0%, while a draw is pegged at 14.0%. The match is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 50.0% probability of over 2.5 goals. Augsburg currently sits in 15th place in the Bundesliga standings, whereas Union Berlin is positioned at 9th.

Match Analysis

Augsburg's recent form has been worrisome, with two losses and a draw in their last three matches. They failed to score in all three games, conceding a total of five goals. The team's inability to find the back of the net is concerning, as shown by their average of 0.6 goals scored across their last five matches. Advanced metrics reveal Augsburg's expected goals scored is slightly higher at 1.372, suggesting that with better finishing, they might improve their goal tally. Defensively, they have managed two clean sheets but still conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game in their recent outings. Union Berlin, on the other hand, comes into this match with a more encouraging form. They secured two wins and a draw in their last three fixtures, including an impressive 3-1 victory over RB Leipzig. Their average goals scored in recent matches is 0.6, aligning closely with Augsburg, yet they boast a slightly better defensive record, conceding 1.2 goals on average. Union Berlin's expected goals metrics are also modest, with 1.116 goals scored and 1.336 conceded over their last five games, indicating a balanced approach.

Final Prediction

Union Berlin's recent form and higher league position give them an edge in this encounter. Their capacity to secure victories against stronger teams like RB Leipzig highlights their potential. A key factor to watch will be Union Berlin's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, as they look to improve their goal-scoring consistency against a defensively vulnerable Augsburg.