Bundesliga 2025-2026: Union Berlin vs M'gladbach Prediction

Union Berlin

Home Team
27%
VS

M'gladbach

Away Team
51%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 6 6 0 0 25 3 22 18
2 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 12 4 8 14
3 RB Leipzig 6 4 1 1 8 8 0 13
4 Stuttgart 6 4 0 2 8 6 2 12
5 Leverkusen 6 3 2 1 12 8 4 11
6 FC Koln 6 3 1 2 11 9 2 10
7 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 0 3 17 16 1 9
8 Freiburg 6 2 2 2 9 9 0 8
9 Hamburg 6 2 2 2 6 8 -2 8
10 St Pauli 6 2 1 3 8 9 -1 7
11 Hoffenheim 6 2 1 3 9 12 -3 7
12 Werder Bremen 6 2 1 3 9 14 -5 7
13 Union Berlin 6 2 1 3 8 13 -5 7
14 Augsburg 6 2 0 4 11 13 -2 6
15 Wolfsburg 6 1 2 3 8 10 -2 5
16 Mainz 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4
17 M'gladbach 6 0 3 3 5 12 -7 3
18 Heidenheim 6 1 0 5 4 11 -7 3

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Union Berlin

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.72
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.08
# Clean Sheets: 1

M'gladbach

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.46
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.44
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Union Berlin and M'gladbach is poised to favor the visitors, with a 51.0% probability of M'gladbach securing a victory. The predicted result leans strongly towards a high-scoring affair with an over 2.5 goals outcome at 57.0%. As it stands, Union Berlin is 13th on the Bundesliga table, while M'gladbach is struggling at 17th, fighting to escape the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Union Berlin's recent form has been a mixed bag with a victory, a draw, and a loss in their last three encounters. Their most notable performance was a thrilling 4-3 win against Ein Frankfurt away from home, showcasing their potential for high-scoring games. However, the team has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per game in their last five matches. Despite these defensive vulnerabilities, Union Berlin has shown promise in attack, with an expected goals average of 1.72 in the same period. M'gladbach, on the other hand, has not won a game in their last three outings, recording two draws and a loss. Their recent performances have been characterized by a solid defensive record, with only an average of 1.0 goals conceded per game over the last five matches. However, their offensive output has been lacking, managing to score just 0.5 goals per game on average. Their expected goals figure of 1.455 suggests they have the potential to improve their attacking returns.

Final Prediction

M'gladbach's predicted victory hinges on their superior defensive organization and potential to capitalize on Union Berlin's defensive lapses. A key factor to watch in this encounter will be M'gladbach's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, potentially exploiting Union Berlin's inconsistent defense. Football fans can expect an intriguing battle with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities.