Borussia Mönchengladbach

Bundesliga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1400 · #18 Bundesliga 0W-0D-5L · 0 pts In line Updated Oct 11, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #17 of 18 31.7 expected pts · currently 0 pts after 5 matches

League title 0.0%
Champions League places 0.0%
Europa League 0.1%
Relegation playoff 15.5%
Relegation 46.8%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full Bundesliga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Borussia Mönchengladbach?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 25 predicted matches

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Borussia Mönchengladbach's results were 5.1% easier to call than the Bundesliga average. How this is measured.

MarketBorussia MönchengladbachLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 52.0% 55.9%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 64.0% 63.2%
Both teams to score 44.0% 59.1%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 Bundesliga #18 1478 1478 1400
2025-26 Bundesliga #10 1498 1510 1462
2024-25 Bundesliga #13 1471 1555 1424
2023-24 Bundesliga #12 1502 1502 1425
2022-23 Bundesliga #10 1520 1540 1476
2021-22 Bundesliga #7 1498 1528 1526
2020-21 Bundesliga #9 1478 1584 1499
2019-20 Bundesliga #4 1498 1617 1592
2018-19 Bundesliga #11 1520 1634 1477
2017-18 Bundesliga #9 1518 1590 1484
2016-17 Bundesliga #7 1518 1539 1511
2015-16 Bundesliga #4 1477 1610 1573
2014-15 Bundesliga #1 1498 1714 1664

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
May 09, 2026 at Augsburg L Borussia Mönchengladbach 27.7% · draw 25.1% L ✓
May 03, 2026 vs Dortmund L Borussia Mönchengladbach 23.2% · draw 20.7% W ✗
Apr 25, 2026 at Wolfsburg L Borussia Mönchengladbach 25.8% · draw 23.0% D ✗
Apr 19, 2026 vs Mainz W Borussia Mönchengladbach 38.0% · draw 27.6% D ✗
Apr 11, 2026 at RB Leipzig L Borussia Mönchengladbach 14.2% · draw 15.7% L ✓
Apr 04, 2026 vs Heidenheim W Borussia Mönchengladbach 56.1% · draw 21.8% D ✗
Mar 13, 2026 vs St Pauli W Borussia Mönchengladbach 63.0% · draw 19.1% W ✓
Mar 06, 2026 at Bayern Munich L Borussia Mönchengladbach 0.4% · draw 0.7% L ✓
Feb 28, 2026 vs Union Berlin L Borussia Mönchengladbach 36.0% · draw 23.9% W ✗
Feb 22, 2026 at Freiburg L Borussia Mönchengladbach 17.4% · draw 18.0% L ✓

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