Eintracht Frankfurt

Bundesliga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1483 · #12 Bundesliga 1W-2D-2L · 5 pts In line Updated Oct 11, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #13 of 18 39.1 expected pts · currently 5 pts after 5 matches

League title 0.0%
Champions League places 0.4%
Europa League 2.0%
Relegation playoff 9.4%
Relegation 11.7%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full Bundesliga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Eintracht Frankfurt?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 26 predicted matches

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Eintracht Frankfurt's results were 6.0% easier to call than the Bundesliga average. How this is measured.

MarketEintracht FrankfurtLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 57.7% 55.9%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 53.8% 63.2%
Both teams to score 69.2% 59.1%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 Bundesliga #12 1502 1508 1484
2025-26 Bundesliga #12 1522 1556 1443
2024-25 Bundesliga #4 1480 1615 1590
2023-24 Bundesliga #6 1518 1587 1525
2022-23 Bundesliga #7 1466 1589 1514
2021-22 Bundesliga #13 1478 1585 1450
2020-21 Bundesliga #5 1498 1674 1569
2019-20 Bundesliga #8 1518 1551 1508
2018-19 Bundesliga #10 1533 1626 1497
2017-18 Bundesliga #10 1502 1580 1481
2016-17 Bundesliga #17 1518 1596 1388
2015-16 Bundesliga #12 1482 1539 1456
2014-15 Bundesliga #9 1518 1526 1483

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
May 08, 2026 at Dortmund L Eintracht Frankfurt 19.2% · draw 19.5% L ✓
May 02, 2026 vs Hamburg W Eintracht Frankfurt 61.7% · draw 19.4% L ✗
Apr 25, 2026 at Augsburg L Eintracht Frankfurt 36.0% · draw 25.6% D ✗
Apr 18, 2026 vs RB Leipzig L Eintracht Frankfurt 30.4% · draw 24.4% L ✓
Apr 11, 2026 at Wolfsburg L Eintracht Frankfurt 36.6% · draw 24.2% W ✗
Mar 22, 2026 at Mainz L Eintracht Frankfurt 29.0% · draw 24.5% L ✓
Mar 14, 2026 vs Heidenheim W Eintracht Frankfurt 79.0% · draw 11.7% W ✓
Mar 08, 2026 at St Pauli W Eintracht Frankfurt 42.2% · draw 23.8% D ✗
Mar 01, 2026 vs Freiburg W Eintracht Frankfurt 51.2% · draw 24.1% W ✓
Feb 21, 2026 at Bayern Munich L Eintracht Frankfurt 0.3% · draw 0.5% L ✓

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