Championship 2026-2027: Sheffield United vs Wolves Prediction - 13 Sep 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5 | Corners | Shots | Spread

Sheffield United

Home Team
31%
VS

Wolves

Away Team
40%
Draw: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 58%
No Goal: 42%
Expected Corners: 10.4
Expected Shots: 24.8
Expected Spread: -0.4

Why the Model Leans Wolves

The factors behind the model's pick between the two sides, in win-probability points. The draw is priced separately above.

Home advantage +11.1 Sheffield United
Results & dominance +5.5 Wolves
Defense +5.3 Wolves
Team strength (Elo & Glicko) +5.0 Wolves
Attack +2.4 Wolves

When this match produces a winner, these factors move the model from an even matchup to 56% for Wolves. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

Why the Model Sees Under 2.5

The factors behind the goals prediction, in probability points toward Under or Over. Independent of the winner model.

Sheffield United attack & chance creation +2.6 Under
League scoring environment +2.6 Under
Wolves attack & chance creation +2.1 Over
Sheffield United defense +2.0 Over
Form & results +1.6 Under

These factors move the model from an even matchup to 50% for Under 2.5. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 6 4 1 1 9 6 3 13
2 Southampton 6 3 2 1 14 7 7 11
3 West Ham 6 3 2 1 14 9 5 11
4 Swansea 6 3 2 1 8 4 4 11
5 QPR 6 3 2 1 7 4 3 11
6 Charlton 6 3 2 1 6 7 -1 11
7 Middlesbrough 5 3 1 1 8 5 3 10
8 Bristol City 5 3 1 1 9 7 2 10
9 Millwall 5 3 0 2 10 8 2 9
10 Norwich 6 3 0 3 10 9 1 9
11 Sheffield United 6 2 3 1 8 8 0 9
12 Wolves 5 2 2 1 13 10 3 8
13 Watford 6 2 2 2 6 7 -1 8
14 Wrexham 6 1 4 1 7 5 2 7
15 Birmingham 6 1 4 1 8 8 0 7
16 Stoke 6 2 1 3 9 10 -1 7
17 Portsmouth 5 2 0 3 7 8 -1 6
18 Blackburn 6 1 2 3 7 9 -2 5
19 Lincoln 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
20 Cardiff 6 0 4 2 7 10 -3 4
21 Bolton 6 1 1 4 6 12 -6 4
22 Derby 6 1 1 4 5 11 -6 4
23 Burnley 6 0 3 3 7 13 -6 3
24 Preston 6 1 0 5 6 12 -6 3

Recent Trends

Sheffield United W L W D D

  • Last Match: W vs Blackburn (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Norwich (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Bolton (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Cardiff (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Swansea (Goals: 0 - 0)

Wolves D L W W D

  • Last Match: D vs Birmingham (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Stoke (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Preston (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Blackburn (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sheffield United

Goals scored (avg, home) 1.33
Goals conceded (avg, home) 1.67
Clean Sheets 1

Wolves

Goals scored (avg, away) 2.33
Goals conceded (avg, away) 2.33
Clean Sheets 0

Key Prediction Insights

The model gives Sheffield United a 31% chance of winning at home, with the draw at 29% and Wolves at 40%. This is a tight call, with Wolves only narrowly ahead. On goals the model leans Over 2.5 at 50% and sees both teams scoring in 58% of cases.

Match Analysis

Sheffield United arrive with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 league games (WLWDD from most recent), scoring 8 and conceding 8 with 1 clean sheet. Wolves arrive with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 league games (DLWWD from most recent), scoring 13 and conceding 10 with 0 clean sheets. In the table Sheffield United sit 11th with 9 points from 6 games and a level goal difference, while Wolves are 12th with 8 points and a goal difference of +3. That puts Sheffield United 1 point clear of their opponent. Sheffield United average 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over their last five home games, while Wolves average 2.3 scored and 2.3 conceded over their last five away games. Looking at what drives the winner call, the model's own attribution points to home advantage (11.1 points toward Sheffield United), results & dominance (5.5 points toward Wolves), defense (5.3 points toward Wolves). These factors are measured in win-probability points and add up to the gap between the two sides if there is a winner.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals Prediction

Recent Goals Trends

Total goals per match in the last 5 games. Green bars = Over 2.5, Red bars = Under 2.5

Sheffield United
Goals in last 5 matches
Wolves
Goals in last 5 matches
The model puts Under 2.5 at 50% and Over 2.5 at 50%, so its call is Over 2.5. Recent games point the same way: Sheffield United matches produced 3.2 goals on average over their last 5, Wolves matches 4.6. Both teams to score comes in at 58%, no goal for at least one side at 42%. In the model's own attribution, Sheffield United attack & chance creation pulls toward Under by 2.6 points and league scoring environment pulls toward Under by 2.6 points.

Corners Prediction

Recent Corners Trends

Corners won (green) and conceded (orange) in the last 5 games. Expected corners shown as reference line.

Sheffield United
Corners in last 5 matches
Wolves
Corners in last 5 matches

Corners Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each corner count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of corners ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The model expects 10.4 corners in total. The single most likely count is 10. The chance of 10 corners or fewer is 54%, which leaves 46% for 11 or more corners. The chart shows the full distribution and the over-the-line curve for every count.

Shots Prediction

Recent Shots Trends

Shots taken (blue) and faced (red) in the last 5 games. Expected shots shown as reference line.

Sheffield United
Shots in last 5 matches
Wolves
Shots in last 5 matches

Shots Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each shot count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of shots ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
Total shots are expected at 24.8 for the two teams combined. The most likely single count is 24. The chance of 24 shots or fewer is 49%, which leaves 51% for 25 or more shots.

Goal Spread Prediction

Goal Spread Probability Distribution

Positive = Sheffield United wins by X goals. Negative = Wolves wins by X goals.

Distribution
Probability of each goal difference outcome
Goal spread probability distribution for Sheffield United vs Wolves with expected spread of -0.4
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of goal difference ≤ X
Cumulative goal spread probability chart for Sheffield United vs Wolves
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The expected goal margin is 0.4 goals in favour of Wolves. The spread model gives 18% to a Sheffield United win by two goals or more and 51% to any Wolves win. A Wolves win by 1 is the single most likely margin.

Final Prediction

Final call: Wolves win (40%), Over 2.5 (50%), Goal (58%). Expected totals: 10.4 corners and 24.8 shots. Every number on this page comes from Predixsport's published models, with the full probability distributions in the charts and in the downloadable data.

More Football Predictions

Today's AI picks across Serie A, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga and Ligue 1:

Over/Under 2.5 Goals Draw Predictions Both Teams to Score Goal Spread Corners

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