Sheffield United
Championship · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #13 of 24 in Championship 60 pts · 18W–6D–22L · GD +0
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Championship simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Sheffield United?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 41 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Sheffield United's results were 1.5% harder to call than the Championship average. How this is measured.
| Market | Sheffield United | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 41.5% | 45.9% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 41.5% | 51.0% |
| Both teams to score | 48.8% | 52.4% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Championship | #13 | 1466 | 1547 | 1494 |
| 2024-25 | Championship | #3 | 1633 | 1718 | 1602 |
| 2023-24 | Premier League | #20 | 1471 | 1471 | 1237 |
| 2022-23 | Championship | #3 | 1556 | 1669 | 1645 |
| 2021-22 | Championship | #4 | 1602 | 1630 | 1586 |
| 2020-21 | Premier League | #18 | 1467 | 1467 | 1360 |
| 2019-20 | Premier League | #10 | 1502 | 1570 | 1489 |
| 2018-19 | Championship | #2 | 1476 | 1691 | 1682 |
| 2017-18 | Championship | #11 | 1452 | 1598 | 1498 |
| 2016-17 | League One | #1 | 1481 | 1737 | 1737 |
| 2015-16 | League One | #10 | 1493 | 1600 | 1498 |
| 2014-15 | League One | #7 | 1556 | 1616 | 1518 |
| 2013-14 | League One | #4 | 1522 | 1610 | 1610 |
| 2012-13 | League One | #11 | 1615 | 1668 | 1505 |
| 2011-12 | League One | #3 | 1528 | 1670 | 1630 |
| 2010-11 | Championship | #21 | 1537 | 1537 | 1407 |
| 2009-10 | Championship | #8 | 1617 | 1658 | 1542 |
| 2008-09 | Championship | #1 | 1543 | 1676 | 1649 |
| 2007-08 | Championship | #6 | 1574 | 1609 | 1576 |
| 2005-06 | Championship | #3 | 1522 | 1688 | 1597 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 02, 2026 | at Derby | L Sheffield United 32.8% · draw 31.4% | W ✗ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | vs Preston | W Sheffield United 67.3% · draw 20.1% | L ✗ |
| Apr 22, 2026 | vs Blackburn | W Sheffield United 60.7% · draw 22.9% | L ✗ |
| Apr 18, 2026 | at Watford | L Sheffield United 33.7% · draw 30.7% | W ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs Hull | W Sheffield United 47.4% · draw 29.2% | W ✓ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | at Bristol City | W Sheffield United 35.6% · draw 30.4% | L ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | vs Swansea | W Sheffield United 46.7% · draw 28.6% | D ✗ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs Wrexham | W Sheffield United 40.8% · draw 30.7% | L ✗ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | at Birmingham | L Sheffield United 28.7% · draw 29.9% | D ✗ |
| Mar 11, 2026 | at Norwich | L Sheffield United 30.4% · draw 30.9% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Championship title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/sheffield-united">Championship title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/championship"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="Championship title odds & club ELO ratings — Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/sheffield-united">Championship title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>