La Liga 2025-2026: Barcelona vs Ath Madrid Prediction

Barcelona

Home Team
66%
VS

Ath Madrid

Away Team
16%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 63%
Under 2.5: 37%
Goal: 63%
No Goal: 37%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 14 11 1 2 39 16 23 34
2 Real Madrid 14 10 3 1 29 13 16 33
3 Villarreal 14 10 2 2 29 13 16 32
4 Ath Madrid 14 9 4 1 27 11 16 31
5 Betis 14 6 6 2 22 14 8 24
6 Espanol 14 7 3 4 18 16 2 24
7 Getafe 14 6 2 6 13 15 -2 20
8 Betis 14 6 2 6 14 17 -3 20
9 Vallecano 14 4 5 5 13 15 -2 17
10 Sociedad 14 4 4 6 19 21 -2 16
11 Elche 14 3 7 4 15 17 -2 16
12 Celta 14 3 7 4 16 19 -3 16
13 Sevilla 14 5 1 8 19 23 -4 16
14 Alaves 14 4 3 7 12 15 -3 15
15 Valencia 14 3 5 6 13 22 -9 14
16 Mallorca 14 3 4 7 15 22 -7 13
17 Osasuna 14 3 3 8 12 18 -6 12
18 Girona 14 2 6 6 13 26 -13 12
19 Levante 14 2 3 9 16 26 -10 9
20 Oviedo 14 2 3 9 7 22 -15 9

Recent Trends

Barcelona ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Celta (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)

Ath Madrid ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Oviedo (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Levante (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Barcelona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.27
# Clean Sheets: 1

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.12
# Clean Sheets: 4

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid sees the home team favored with a 66.0% probability of winning, while Atletico has a 16.0% chance of victory. There's an 18.0% likelihood for a draw. Fans can anticipate a high-scoring match, with a 63.0% probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Barcelona sits at the top of the La Liga table, while Atletico Madrid is in fourth place.

Match Analysis

Both teams are coming into this match with strong performances in their recent games. Barcelona has been in scintillating form, securing three consecutive wins, including an impressive 4-0 victory against Athletic Bilbao. Their attacking prowess is evident, averaging 2.8 goals per game in their last five matches. Defensively, Barcelona has been solid, conceding just 0.8 goals per game on average, with one clean sheet in the same period. Atletico Madrid, meanwhile, has also been successful in their last three outings, winning all of them. They have shown defensive resilience, keeping four clean sheets in their last five matches, and have conceded just 0.6 goals on average. Offensively, Atletico Madrid has been less prolific, averaging 1.2 goals per game. Despite this, their ability to keep their opponents at bay could be a crucial factor in the match.

Final Prediction

Barcelona holds the advantage going into this encounter, mainly due to their excellent offensive form and league-leading position. Their ability to score frequently, combined with a strong defensive record, gives them an edge over Atletico Madrid. Fans should keep an eye on Barcelona's attacking play, as it could be the decisive factor in the outcome of the game.