La Liga 2024-2025: Las Palmas vs Valencia Prediction

Las Palmas

Home Team
37%
VS

Valencia

Away Team
36%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 33 24 4 5 89 32 57 76
2 Real Madrid 33 22 6 5 66 31 35 72
3 Ath Madrid 33 19 9 5 56 27 29 66
4 Ath Bilbao 33 16 12 5 50 26 24 60
5 Villarreal 33 15 10 8 56 45 11 55
6 Betis 33 15 9 9 50 41 9 54
7 Celta 33 13 7 13 50 49 1 46
8 Osasuna 33 10 14 9 40 46 -6 44
9 Mallorca 33 12 8 13 31 38 -7 44
10 Sociedad 33 12 6 15 32 37 -5 42
11 Vallecano 33 10 11 12 35 42 -7 41
12 Getafe 33 10 9 14 31 30 1 39
13 Espanol 33 10 9 14 35 42 -7 39
14 Valencia 33 9 12 12 37 49 -12 39
15 Sevilla 33 9 10 14 35 44 -9 37
16 Girona 33 9 8 16 40 52 -12 35
17 Alaves 33 8 10 15 35 46 -11 34
18 Las Palmas 33 8 8 17 38 53 -15 32
19 Leganes 33 6 12 15 30 49 -19 30
20 Valladolid 33 4 4 25 24 81 -57 16

Recent Trends

Las Palmas ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)

Valencia ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Las Palmas

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.60
# Clean Sheets: 1

Valencia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.33
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.51
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Valencia is expected to be a closely contested affair. With a probability of 37.0% for a home victory, Las Palmas is slightly favored over Valencia, who has a 36.0% chance of winning. The match has a 27.0% likelihood of ending in a draw. Positioned at 18th in the league, Las Palmas is fighting to escape relegation, while 14th-placed Valencia aims to climb higher up the standings. The predicted result suggests a narrow win for Las Palmas with the likelihood of under 2.5 goals in the match.

Match Analysis

Las Palmas has shown flashes of resilience in their recent performances, securing two wins in their last three matches, including a notable 1-0 home victory against Ath Madrid. Despite these triumphs, their defensive vulnerabilities remain evident, conceding an average of 1.8 goals over the past five games. Offensively, Las Palmas averages 1.0 goal per match, with an expected goals value of 1.36, indicating a potential for improvement in their attacking prowess. Valencia, on the other hand, has been relatively consistent, remaining unbeaten in their last three matches with one win and two draws. Their victory against Sevilla highlights their ability to perform under pressure. Valencia averages 1.6 goals per game with a slightly lower expected goals figure of 1.332, and they have managed to keep two clean sheets in their recent outings. Their defensive solidity, with an average of 1.4 goals conceded, could be a deciding factor in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Las Palmas holds a slight edge due to their recent home success against a top-tier opponent, suggesting they can leverage home advantage to secure victory. A key factor to watch will be their ability to maintain defensive discipline against a Valencia side known for their tenacity and capability to score. This matchup promises an intriguing battle, with both teams eager to improve their league positions.