Sevilla
La Liga · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #5 of 20 56.2 expected pts · currently 14 pts after 8 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full La Liga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #15 of 20 in La Liga 43 pts · 12W-7D-19L · GD -14
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full La Liga simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Sevilla?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 29 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Sevilla's results were 3.8% harder to call than the La Liga average. How this is measured.
| Market | Sevilla | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 55.2% | 51.8% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 72.4% | 58.2% |
| Both teams to score | 55.2% | 55.6% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | La Liga | #5 | 1518 | 1556 | 1530 |
| 2025-26 | La Liga | #13 | 1482 | 1552 | 1462 |
| 2024-25 | La Liga | #17 | 1502 | 1522 | 1417 |
| 2023-24 | La Liga | #13 | 1471 | 1531 | 1450 |
| 2022-23 | La Liga | #7 | 1482 | 1561 | 1513 |
| 2021-22 | La Liga | #4 | 1522 | 1657 | 1615 |
| 2020-21 | La Liga | #4 | 1533 | 1684 | 1625 |
| 2019-20 | La Liga | #4 | 1559 | 1643 | 1643 |
| 2018-19 | La Liga | #10 | 1534 | 1608 | 1506 |
| 2017-18 | La Liga | #10 | 1498 | 1591 | 1528 |
| 2016-17 | La Liga | #5 | 1520 | 1670 | 1580 |
| 2015-16 | La Liga | #16 | 1502 | 1595 | 1426 |
| 2014-15 | La Liga | #5 | 1498 | 1651 | 1643 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The La Liga title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/sevilla">La Liga title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/sevilla">La Liga title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>