Ligue 2 2026-2027: Annecy vs Dijon Prediction - 18 Sep 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5 | Corners | Shots | Spread

Annecy

Home Team
41%
VS

Dijon

Away Team
28%
Draw: 31%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%
Expected Corners: 9.7
Expected Shots: 25.9
Expected Spread: +0.3

Why the Model Leans Annecy

The factors behind the model's pick between the two sides, in win-probability points. The draw is priced separately above.

Home advantage +11.1 Annecy
Defense +2.6 Dijon
Team strength (Elo & Glicko) +2.3 Annecy
Results & dominance +2.1 Dijon
Attack +0.9 Annecy

When this match produces a winner, these factors move the model from an even matchup to 59% for Annecy. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

Why the Model Sees Under 2.5

The factors behind the goals prediction, in probability points toward Under or Over. Independent of the winner model.

League scoring environment +2.6 Under

These factors move the model from an even matchup to 52% for Under 2.5. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

Also available in Claude and Perplexity. Query these predictions in plain language: our native connector lets your AI assistant call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 St Etienne 6 5 0 1 17 6 11 15
2 Reims 6 3 3 0 14 8 6 12
3 Montpellier 6 3 2 1 5 4 1 11
4 Red Star 6 3 2 1 6 6 0 11
5 Annecy 6 3 1 2 8 7 1 10
6 Metz 6 2 3 1 8 5 3 9
7 Sochaux 6 2 3 1 3 4 -1 9
8 Dunkerque 6 2 2 2 10 10 0 8
9 Guingamp 6 2 2 2 9 9 0 8
10 Nancy 6 2 1 3 4 4 0 7
11 Rodez 6 2 1 3 11 12 -1 7
12 Grenoble 6 2 1 3 7 10 -3 7
13 Dijon 6 1 3 2 8 9 -1 6
14 Boulogne 6 0 5 1 2 3 -1 5
15 Pau FC 6 1 2 3 4 6 -2 5
16 Clermont 6 0 5 1 3 5 -2 5
17 Nantes 6 1 1 4 7 12 -5 4
18 Laval 6 1 1 4 7 13 -6 4

Recent Trends

Annecy L W D L W

  • Last Match: L vs Guingamp (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Grenoble (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Metz (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Reims (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Rodez (Goals: 2 - 0)

Dijon W D L D L

  • Last Match: W vs Laval (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Boulogne (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs St Etienne (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Clermont (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Pau FC (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Annecy

Goals scored (avg, home) 1.50
Goals conceded (avg, home) 0.50
Clean Sheets 1

Dijon

Goals scored (avg, away) 1.00
Goals conceded (avg, away) 1.00
Clean Sheets 0

Key Prediction Insights

The model gives Annecy a 41% chance of winning at home, with the draw at 31% and Dijon at 28%. This is a tight call, with Annecy only narrowly ahead. On goals the model leans Under 2.5 at 52% and sees both teams scoring in 53% of cases.

Match Analysis

Annecy arrive with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 league games (LWDLW from most recent), scoring 7 and conceding 7 with 1 clean sheet. Dijon arrive with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 league games (WDLDL from most recent), scoring 7 and conceding 8 with 0 clean sheets. In the table Annecy sit 5th with 10 points from 6 games and a goal difference of +1, while Dijon are 13th with 6 points and a goal difference of -1. That puts Annecy 4 points clear of their opponent. Annecy average 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over their last five home games, while Dijon average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded over their last five away games. Looking at what drives the winner call, the model's own attribution points to home advantage (11.1 points toward Annecy), defense (2.6 points toward Dijon), team strength (Elo & Glicko) (2.3 points toward Annecy). These factors are measured in win-probability points and add up to the gap between the two sides if there is a winner.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals Prediction

Recent Goals Trends

Total goals per match in the last 5 games. Green bars = Over 2.5, Red bars = Under 2.5

Annecy
Goals in last 5 matches
Dijon
Goals in last 5 matches
The model puts Under 2.5 at 52% and Over 2.5 at 48%, so its call is Under 2.5. Recent games are less clear-cut: Annecy matches produced 2.8 goals on average over their last 5, Dijon matches 3.0. Both teams to score comes in at 53%, no goal for at least one side at 47%. In the model's own attribution, league scoring environment pulls toward Under by 2.6 points.

Corners Prediction

Recent Corners Trends

Corners won (green) and conceded (orange) in the last 5 games. Expected corners shown as reference line.

Annecy
Corners in last 5 matches
Dijon
Corners in last 5 matches

Corners Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each corner count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of corners ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The model expects 9.7 corners in total. The single most likely count is 9. The chance of 9 corners or fewer is 50%, which leaves 50% for 10 or more corners. The chart shows the full distribution and the over-the-line curve for every count.

Shots Prediction

Recent Shots Trends

Shots taken (blue) and faced (red) in the last 5 games. Expected shots shown as reference line.

Annecy
Shots in last 5 matches
Dijon
Shots in last 5 matches

Shots Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each shot count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of shots ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
Total shots are expected at 25.9 for the two teams combined. The most likely single count is 25. The chance of 25 shots or fewer is 48%, which leaves 52% for 26 or more shots.

Goal Spread Prediction

Goal Spread Probability Distribution

Positive = Annecy wins by X goals. Negative = Dijon wins by X goals.

Distribution
Probability of each goal difference outcome
Goal spread probability distribution for Annecy vs Dijon with expected spread of +0.3
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of goal difference ≤ X
Cumulative goal spread probability chart for Annecy vs Dijon
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The expected goal margin is 0.3 goals in favour of Annecy. The spread model gives 26% to a Annecy win by two goals or more and 39% to any Dijon win. A level scoreline is the single most likely margin.

Final Prediction

Final call: Annecy win (41%), Under 2.5 (52%), Goal (53%). Expected totals: 9.7 corners and 25.9 shots. Every number on this page comes from Predixsport's published models, with the full probability distributions in the charts and in the downloadable data.

More Football Predictions

Today's AI picks across Serie A, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga and Ligue 1:

Over/Under 2.5 Goals Draw Predictions Both Teams to Score Goal Spread Corners

Get Daily Football Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven football predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel