Annecy

Ligue 2 · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1552 · #6 Ligue 2 4W-1D-3L · 13 pts In line Updated Oct 12, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #5 of 18 52.3 expected pts · currently 13 pts after 8 matches

League title 4.8%
Promotion 13.5%
Automatic promotion 13.5%
Promotion barrage 37.5%
Relegation barrage 0.4%
Relegation 0.2%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full Ligue 2 simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Annecy?

In line with the league 2025-26 · 29 predicted matches · backtest

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Annecy's results were 5.4% easier to call than the Ligue 2 average. How this is measured.

MarketAnnecyLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 44.8% 41.5%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 41.4% 51.9%
Both teams to score 37.9% 47.7%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 Ligue 2 #6 1603 1603 1552
2025-26 Ligue 2 #5 1480 1586 1568
2024-25 Ligue 2 #8 1561 1592 1523
2023-24 Ligue 2 #9 1456 1565 1537
2022-23 Ligue 2 #12 1465 1541 1482

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
Oct 09, 2026 at Dunkerque L Annecy 32.2% · draw 31.5% W ✗
Sep 18, 2026 vs Dijon W Annecy 40.9% · draw 31.1% L ✗
Sep 12, 2026 at Guingamp L Annecy 32.4% · draw 31.3% L ✓

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