Dijon

Ligue 2 · ELO profile, season forecast & model record

ELO 1529 · #7 Ligue 2 3W-3D-2L · 12 pts Updated Oct 12, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.

Season simulation

2026-27 season forecast

Projected: #6 of 18 48.5 expected pts · currently 12 pts after 8 matches

League title 1.5%
Promotion 5.3%
Automatic promotion 5.3%
Promotion barrage 24.2%
Relegation barrage 1.7%
Relegation 1.3%

The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.

Full Ligue 2 simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →

How predictable is Dijon?

Sample still small 2026-27 · 3 predicted matches

We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Dijon's results were 1.0% harder to call than the Ligue 2 average. How this is measured.

MarketDijonLeague avg
Match result (1X2) 33.3% 40.7%
Under/Over 2.5 goals 33.3% 44.4%
Both teams to score 100.0% 48.1%

Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.

Season by season

SeasonLeaguePosStartPeakEnd
2026-27 Ligue 2 #7 1489 1529 1529
2022-23 Ligue 2 #13 1502 1555 1481
2021-22 Ligue 2 #12 1465 1523 1478
2020-21 Ligue 1 #20 1471 1471 1302
2019-20 Ligue 1 #14 1471 1492 1466
2018-19 Ligue 1 #17 1529 1573 1403
2017-18 Ligue 1 #11 1478 1501 1477
2016-17 Ligue 1 #16 1471 1490 1403

ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.

Recent matches: model vs reality

DateOpponentModel saidResult
Oct 12, 2026 vs Metz L Dijon 34.0% · draw 30.9% W ✗
Sep 18, 2026 at Annecy L Dijon 28.1% · draw 31.1% W ✗
Sep 11, 2026 vs Laval W Dijon 43.5% · draw 28.6% W ✓

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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