Ligue 2 2026-2027: Dunkerque vs Annecy Prediction - 9 Oct 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5 | Corners | Shots | Spread

Dunkerque

Home Team
36%
VS

Annecy

Away Team
32%
Draw: 32%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%
Expected Corners: 9.5
Expected Shots: 24.2
Expected Spread: -0.0

Why the Model Leans Dunkerque

The factors behind the model's pick between the two sides, in win-probability points. The draw is priced separately above.

Home advantage +11.1 Dunkerque
Team strength (Elo & Glicko) +4.1 Annecy
Results & dominance +3.6 Annecy

When this match produces a winner, these factors move the model from an even matchup to 53% for Dunkerque. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

Why the Model Sees Over 2.5

The factors behind the goals prediction, in probability points toward Under or Over. Independent of the winner model.

League scoring environment +2.6 Under
Annecy defense +1.1 Over
Form & results +0.8 Over
Dunkerque defense +0.7 Over
Dunkerque attack & chance creation +0.6 Under

These factors move the model from an even matchup to 50% for Over 2.5. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

Also available in Claude and Perplexity. Query these predictions in plain language: our native connector lets your AI assistant call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19 8 11 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9 7 2 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15 9 6 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6 5 1 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10 7 3 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8 7 1 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9 9 0 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4 5 -1 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10 10 0 9
10 Pau FC 7 2 2 3 6 6 0 8
11 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10 12 -2 8
12 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10 12 -2 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14 16 -2 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9 13 -4 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4 6 -2 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3 5 -2 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8 14 -6 5

Recent Trends

Dunkerque L W D L L

  • Last Match: L vs Pau FC (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs St Etienne (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Clermont (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Nancy (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Montpellier (Goals: 0 - 1)

Annecy L L W D L

  • Last Match: L vs Dijon (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Guingamp (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Grenoble (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Metz (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Reims (Goals: 1 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Dunkerque

Goals scored (avg, home) 1.75
Goals conceded (avg, home) 1.25
Clean Sheets 0

Annecy

Goals scored (avg, away) 1.25
Goals conceded (avg, away) 1.50
Clean Sheets 0

Key Prediction Insights

The model gives Dunkerque a 36% chance of winning at home, with the draw at 32% and Annecy at 32%. This is a tight call, with Dunkerque only narrowly ahead. On goals the model leans Over 2.5 at 50% and sees both teams scoring in 52% of cases.

Match Analysis

Dunkerque arrive with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 league games (LWDLL from most recent), scoring 3 and conceding 7 with 0 clean sheets. Annecy arrive with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 league games (LLWDL from most recent), scoring 6 and conceding 9 with 0 clean sheets. In the table Dunkerque sit 11th with 8 points from 7 games and a goal difference of -2, while Annecy are 7th with 10 points and a level goal difference. That puts Annecy 2 points clear of their opponent. Dunkerque average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over their last five home games, while Annecy average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded over their last five away games. Looking at what drives the winner call, the model's own attribution points to home advantage (11.1 points toward Dunkerque), team strength (Elo & Glicko) (4.1 points toward Annecy), results & dominance (3.6 points toward Annecy). These factors are measured in win-probability points and add up to the gap between the two sides if there is a winner.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals Prediction

Recent Goals Trends

Total goals per match in the last 5 games. Green bars = Over 2.5, Red bars = Under 2.5

Dunkerque
Goals in last 5 matches
Annecy
Goals in last 5 matches
The model puts Under 2.5 at 50% and Over 2.5 at 50%, so its call is Over 2.5. Recent games point the same way: Dunkerque matches produced 2.0 goals on average over their last 5, Annecy matches 3.0. Both teams to score comes in at 52%, no goal for at least one side at 48%. In the model's own attribution, league scoring environment pulls toward Under by 2.6 points and Annecy defense pulls toward Over by 1.1 points.

Corners Prediction

Recent Corners Trends

Corners won (green) and conceded (orange) in the last 5 games. Expected corners shown as reference line.

Dunkerque
Corners in last 5 matches
Annecy
Corners in last 5 matches

Corners Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each corner count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of corners ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The model expects 9.5 corners in total. The single most likely count is 9. The chance of 9 corners or fewer is 52%, which leaves 48% for 10 or more corners. The chart shows the full distribution and the over-the-line curve for every count.

Shots Prediction

Recent Shots Trends

Shots taken (blue) and faced (red) in the last 5 games. Expected shots shown as reference line.

Dunkerque
Shots in last 5 matches
Annecy
Shots in last 5 matches

Shots Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each shot count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of shots ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
Total shots are expected at 24.2 for the two teams combined. The most likely single count is 24. The chance of 24 shots or fewer is 54%, which leaves 46% for 25 or more shots.

Goal Spread Prediction

Goal Spread Probability Distribution

Positive = Dunkerque wins by X goals. Negative = Annecy wins by X goals.

Distribution
Probability of each goal difference outcome
Goal spread probability distribution for Dunkerque vs Annecy with expected spread of -0.0
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of goal difference ≤ X
Cumulative goal spread probability chart for Dunkerque vs Annecy
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The expected goal margin is 0.0 goals in favour of Annecy. The spread model gives 22% to a Dunkerque win by two goals or more and 45% to any Annecy win. An Annecy win by 1 is the single most likely margin.

Final Prediction

Final call: Dunkerque win (36%), Over 2.5 (50%), Goal (52%). Expected totals: 9.5 corners and 24.2 shots. Every number on this page comes from Predixsport's published models, with the full probability distributions in the charts and in the downloadable data.

More Football Predictions

Today's AI picks across Serie A, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga and Ligue 1:

Over/Under 2.5 Goals Draw Predictions Both Teams to Score Goal Spread Corners

Get Daily Football Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven football predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel