Dunkerque
Ligue 2 · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #10 of 18 in Ligue 2 43 pts · 11W–10D–13L · GD +8
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Ligue 2 simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Dunkerque?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 29 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Dunkerque's results were 4.1% harder to call than the Ligue 2 average. How this is measured.
| Market | Dunkerque | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 41.4% | 41.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 51.7% | 51.9% |
| Both teams to score | 34.5% | 47.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Ligue 2 | #13 | 1498 | 1624 | 1438 |
| 2024-25 | Ligue 2 | #6 | 1478 | 1628 | 1533 |
| 2023-24 | Ligue 2 | #10 | 1373 | 1548 | 1511 |
| 2021-22 | Ligue 2 | #19 | 1456 | 1500 | 1333 |
| 2020-21 | Ligue 2 | #16 | 1529 | 1548 | 1449 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 09, 2026 | at Nancy | W Dunkerque 36.7% · draw 31.6% | L ✗ |
| May 02, 2026 | vs Grenoble | W Dunkerque 46.1% · draw 28.1% | L ✗ |
| Apr 27, 2026 | at Boulogne | W Dunkerque 34.8% · draw 32.0% | W ✓ |
| Apr 20, 2026 | vs Laval | W Dunkerque 48.2% · draw 27.7% | L ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Saint-Étienne | L Dunkerque 16.9% · draw 23.6% | L ✓ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | vs Rodez | W Dunkerque 40.3% · draw 30.9% | D ✗ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | at Troyes | L Dunkerque 20.9% · draw 28.6% | L ✓ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | at Red Star | L Dunkerque 29.8% · draw 31.4% | L ✓ |
| Mar 09, 2026 | vs Reims | L Dunkerque 31.5% · draw 30.5% | D ✗ |
| Feb 27, 2026 | at Clermont | W Dunkerque 39.2% · draw 30.2% | L ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Ligue 2 title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/dunkerque">Ligue 2 title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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