Premier League 2025-2026: Brentford vs Burnley Prediction
Brentford
Home Team
87%
VS
Burnley
Away Team
6%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Man City | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 22 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Brighton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
| 10 | Man United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Everton | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Fulham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | West Ham | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 | Leeds | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 | Burnley | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Brentford
- Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 0)
Burnley
- Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Brentford
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.33
# Clean Sheets:
1
Burnley
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.15
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.91
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Brentford is predicted to come out victorious against Burnley with an 87.0% probability of winning. The likelihood of the match seeing over 2.5 goals is relatively high at 56.0%. Brentford currently sits at 13th place in the Premier League standings, while Burnley struggles in 19th, facing the threat of relegation.
Match Analysis
Brentford's recent form has been a mixed bag with one win and two losses in their last three matches, including a 3-1 win against Newcastle at home. Their average goals scored over the last five matches stand at 2.2, while they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game. These figures suggest an attacking prowess that could be pivotal in their upcoming fixture against Burnley. Their expected goals metrics reinforce this, with 2.134 expected goals scored per game, indicating that they are creating quality chances.
Burnley, on the other hand, is in a difficult position with three consecutive losses. Their defense has been leaky, conceding on average 3.0 goals per game in the last five matches. While they have managed to score 1.8 goals per game, their expected goals scored of 1.152 suggests a struggle to convert opportunities. Notably, Burnley's expected goals conceded of 2.906 highlights their defensive vulnerabilities, which Brentford will likely look to exploit.
Final Prediction
Brentford's superior attacking statistics and recent home victory against Newcastle give them a clear edge over a struggling Burnley side. A key factor to watch during the game will be Brentford's ability to capitalize on Burnley's defensive frailties, which could lead to a high-scoring affair. Fans should keep an eye on Brentford's attacking players, who have the potential to turn this match in their favor.