Premier League 2025-2026: Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction
Liverpool
Home Team
62%
VS
Brighton
Away Team
19%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5:
57%
Under 2.5:
43%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Man City | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Man United | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Everton | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 22 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 | Brentford | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 | Fulham | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Leeds | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 15 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
| 18 | West Ham | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 33 | -25 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Liverpool
- Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 3)
Brighton
- Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 3 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Liverpool
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.12
# Clean Sheets:
1
Brighton
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.23
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
Liverpool is predicted to come out victorious against Brighton with a 62% probability, while the chances of Brighton winning stand at 19%, and a draw at 20%. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Liverpool occupies the 10th position in the Premier League standings, while Brighton is slightly ahead in 8th place.
Match Analysis
Both teams have shown mixed performances in their recent outings. Liverpool has had a winless run in their last three games, with two draws against Leeds and Sunderland and a win against West Ham. This recent form shows a struggle to secure wins consistently, although they did manage a clean sheet against West Ham. Brighton, on the other hand, experienced a narrow loss to Aston Villa but bounced back with a win against Nott'm Forest and a draw with West Ham. The Seagulls have shown resilience, especially with two clean sheets in the last five games.
Liverpool's key metrics reveal an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded over the last five matches, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. However, their expected goals (xG) metrics suggest that they are capable of more, with 1.662 xG scored and only 1.118 xG conceded. Brighton edges Liverpool slightly in goal-scoring with an average of 1.6 goals per game and a more stable defense, conceding only 1.2 goals on average. Their xG data shows that they too have the potential to be more prolific in attack.
Final Prediction
Despite Liverpool's recent form being less than stellar, their superior probability of winning reflects their potential to capitalize on their attacking prowess. Their ability to create scoring opportunities, as indicated by their xG, could be the key factor in overcoming Brighton. Fans should keep an eye on Liverpool's offensive strategy and whether they can convert their chances effectively to secure a much-needed win.