West Ham
Championship · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #4 of 24 78.0 expected pts · currently 19 pts after 10 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full Championship simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #18 of 20 in Premier League 39 pts · 10W-9D-19L · GD -19
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Premier League simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is West Ham?
On script 2025-26 · 28 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, West Ham's results were 11.3% easier to call than the Premier League average. How this is measured.
| Market | West Ham | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 67.9% | 50.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 50.0% | 52.7% |
| Both teams to score | 46.4% | 52.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Championship | #3 | 1617 | 1651 | 1651 |
| 2025-26 | Premier League | #17 | 1478 | 1488 | 1437 |
| 2024-25 | Premier League | #15 | 1471 | 1505 | 1438 |
| 2023-24 | Premier League | #13 | 1502 | 1583 | 1458 |
| 2022-23 | Premier League | #13 | 1467 | 1490 | 1446 |
| 2021-22 | Premier League | #11 | 1533 | 1609 | 1478 |
| 2020-21 | Premier League | #7 | 1467 | 1619 | 1566 |
| 2019-20 | Premier League | #14 | 1466 | 1541 | 1456 |
| 2018-19 | Premier League | #9 | 1477 | 1529 | 1519 |
| 2017-18 | Premier League | #11 | 1477 | 1477 | 1476 |
| 2016-17 | Premier League | #11 | 1482 | 1499 | 1470 |
| 2015-16 | Premier League | #7 | 1533 | 1626 | 1568 |
| 2014-15 | Premier League | #19 | 1471 | 1582 | 1380 |
| 2011-12 | Championship | #2 | 1476 | 1650 | 1637 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The Championship title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/west-ham">Championship title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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