Serie A 2025-2026: Fiorentina vs Udinese Prediction
Fiorentina
Home Team
45%
VS
Udinese
Away Team
29%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Milan | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 31 |
| 4 | Roma | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 30 |
| 5 | Juventus | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Bologna | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 25 |
| 7 | Como | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Lazio | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 21 |
| 10 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 20 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
| 13 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 17 |
| 14 | Lecce | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 14 |
| 16 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 14 |
| 17 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | Verona | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Fiorentina
- Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 2)
Udinese
- Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Fiorentina
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.89
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.32
# Clean Sheets:
0
Udinese
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.93
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
Fiorentina is predicted to come out on top in the upcoming clash against Udinese with a 45.0% probability of winning. Despite their challenging season, this home advantage could prove pivotal. The game is expected to remain under 2.5 goals, reflecting a tight contest between the two sides. As it stands, Fiorentina languishes at the bottom of Serie A in 20th place, while Udinese is positioned 10th in the league.
Match Analysis
Both teams have experienced contrasting fortunes in their recent form. Fiorentina has been struggling significantly, having lost all their last three matches. Their scoring has been consistent, averaging 1.0 goal per game, but they have failed to keep any clean sheets, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Despite these struggles, Fiorentina's expected goals metrics suggest they have the potential to score more than they have been, averaging 1.894 expected goals per game.
On the other hand, Udinese has shown a mixed bag of results with two wins and a loss in their last three matches. Their defense has been somewhat leaky, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, yet they have managed to secure two clean sheets in their last five encounters. Udinese's attack has been on par with Fiorentina's, averaging 1.0 goal per game, with an expected goals tally of 1.11 per match.
Final Prediction
Fiorentina's edge in this matchup lies in their home advantage and a higher probability of winning despite their current league standing. They have been creating goal-scoring opportunities, as reflected in their expected goals statistics, which could be the key factor in breaking their losing streak. A pivotal aspect to watch in this game will be whether Fiorentina can capitalize on their chances and tighten up defensively to secure a much-needed win.