Udinese
Serie A · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #8 of 20 54.2 expected pts · pre-season forecast
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date — the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #10 of 20 in Serie A 50 pts · 14W–8D–16L · GD -3
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Udinese?
Chaos club 2025-26 · 32 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Udinese's results were 13.8% harder to call than the Serie A average. How this is measured.
| Market | Udinese | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 31.2% | 52.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 59.4% | 51.9% |
| Both teams to score | 34.4% | 50.3% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Serie A | #11 | 1498 | 1553 | 1498 |
| 2024-25 | Serie A | #17 | 1502 | 1562 | 1376 |
| 2023-24 | Serie A | #12 | 1466 | 1487 | 1478 |
| 2022-23 | Serie A | #15 | 1480 | 1610 | 1413 |
| 2021-22 | Serie A | #10 | 1498 | 1544 | 1495 |
| 2020-21 | Serie A | #16 | 1482 | 1511 | 1405 |
| 2019-20 | Serie A | #10 | 1518 | 1518 | 1497 |
| 2018-19 | Serie A | #10 | 1502 | 1528 | 1507 |
| 2017-18 | Serie A | #17 | 1471 | 1558 | 1377 |
| 2016-17 | Serie A | #14 | 1477 | 1526 | 1432 |
| 2015-16 | Serie A | #19 | 1529 | 1529 | 1390 |
| 2014-15 | Serie A | #19 | 1520 | 1558 | 1372 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | vs Cremonese | W Udinese 59.5% · draw 20.3% | L ✗ |
| May 09, 2026 | at Cagliari | L Udinese 30.9% · draw 26.6% | W ✗ |
| May 02, 2026 | vs Torino | W Udinese 43.6% · draw 23.9% | W ✓ |
| Apr 27, 2026 | at Lazio | L Udinese 21.6% · draw 21.3% | D ✗ |
| Apr 18, 2026 | vs Parma | W Udinese 54.4% · draw 22.4% | L ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Milan | L Udinese 12.4% · draw 14.2% | W ✗ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | vs Como | L Udinese 20.9% · draw 19.2% | D ✗ |
| Mar 20, 2026 | at Genoa | L Udinese 22.3% · draw 21.8% | W ✗ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | vs Juventus | L Udinese 22.1% · draw 20.0% | L ✓ |
| Mar 07, 2026 | at Atalanta | L Udinese 10.4% · draw 12.4% | D ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/udinese">Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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